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Current Win Probability
New Mexico United 50.6%
Draw 23.5%
Indy Eleven 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
26.3%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
26.4%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Mexico United's performance.
Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Indy Eleven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Mexico United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Indy Eleven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
New Mexico United - Indy Eleven Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New Mexico (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Shakes K. (G) 2. Hamalainen N. 4. Keller K. 24. Blackett T. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 6. Zelalem G. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 10. Hurst G. (C) 31. Melto Quiah J. 29. Archimede L.
23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 36. Kibunguchy N. 21. Rasheed M. 37. Craig P. 14. Quinn A. (C) 22. Omar M. 13. Hafferty J. 6. Lindley C. 8. Blake J. 90. Mesanvi L. 15. Henry-Scott M.
Substitutes
14. Dennis C. 5. Harris D. 27. Howell M. 17. LaCava J. 11. Nava C. 33. Pannenberg A. (G) 28. Wilkerson C.
39. Barry H. 1. Dick E. (G) 29. Mitrano A. 5. O'Brien J. 27. Rendon B. 9. Sharp C. 20. Sing D.
Coaches
Sanchez D.
McAuley S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Archimede L. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Hurst G. ⚽, Archimede L. (A),
45+2', Hafferty J. 🟨,
45+2', Melto Quiah J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Melto Quiah J. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Henry-Scott M. ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, Blake J. ⚽,
67', Blackett T. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
67', Archimede L. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
67', Zelalem G. ↓, Wilkerson C. ↑,
73', Henry-Scott M. ↓, Rendon B. ↑,
73', Mesanvi L. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
86', Harris D. ↓, Nava C. ↑,
88', Jabang O. 🟨,
90+3', Keller K. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
New Mexico is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Indy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
Last Results with these Odds
New Mexico United - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.92%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Indy Eleven - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.74%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Canada
Mexico
North-central-america
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Shakes K. (G) 
Hamalainen N. 
Blackett T. 
Reid-Stephen N. 
Hurst G. (C) 
Melto Quiah J. 
Archimede L. 
Charles-Cook R. (G) 
Kibunguchy N. 
Omar M. 
Mesanvi L. 
Harris D. 
Howell M. 
O'Brien J. 
Rendon B. 
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