Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Escobar J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	Disney+
Brazil	20:00	Disney+
Chile	20:00	Disney+
Colombia	18:00	Disney+
Mexico	17:00	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	18:00	Disney+
Uruguay	20:00	Disney+
Usa	19:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	19:00	Disney+


	Miami		Loudoun United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.90	3.60
	1.88	3.75	3.3
	1.88	4.03	3.82
	1.8	4.24	3.61	Watch
	1.74	4.25	3.85
	1.9	4.03	3.41	Watch
	1.88	3.8	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.05)	4 ↑ (3.65)	3.56 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
50.7%

Draw
23.2%

Loudoun United
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

25.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

24.5%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Miami - Loudoun United Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Rodriguez F. (G) 12. Ndiaye B. 14. Rogers A. 13. Knutson D. (C) 21. Milesi A. 22. Da Costa R. 5. Tori R. 8. Romero M. 7. Tunbridge M. 37. Mello D. 26. Rocha A.	41. Bandre E. (G) 33. Piras L. 2. Adnan N. 5. Mazzaferro S. 6. Awuah K. 8. Murphy J. (C) 28. Zouhir R. 18. Lomtadze G. 23. Watts A. 11. Aboukoura A. 9. Davis III E.
Substitutes
2. Al Zubaidi H. 4. Calfo A. 16. Diaz G. 17. Levin J. 30. Medranda J. 47. Mlekus M. 23. Musto T. 41. Rodriguez J. (G) 6. Tulu	38. Barrus L. 17. Butts L. 31. Donovan P. (G) 7. Niyongabire P. 10. Santos P.
Coaches
Maddoni G.	Limbrick A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Rocha A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mello D. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
46', Ndiaye B. ↓, Al Zubaidi H. ↑,
64', Lomtadze G. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
81', Tori R. ↓, Medranda J. ↑,
82', Milesi A. 🟨,
83', Watts A. ↓, Butts L. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Davis III E. ⚽, Santos P. (A),
85', Awuah K. ↓, Niyongabire P. ↑,
86', Romero M. ↓, Mlekus M. ↑,
89', Tunbridge M. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 2, Davis III E. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1.

Miami has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Loudoun is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Loudoun could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Miami has faced a series of away games on the road.

Miami carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Miami in today's match, at odds of 1.75.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Miami has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:20 (averaging 1.9:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Miami against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:7 goals (averaging 2.2:1.2 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
03.10.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Miami - Sporting Jacksonville	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Indy Eleven - Miami	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Rhode Island - Miami	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Brooklyn - Miami	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.9 WWWWT
- Loudoun United
USL Championship
03.10.26	Loudoun United - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Loudoun United	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Louisville City - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Loudoun United - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
21.03.26	Loudoun United - Miami	0:0
30.08.25	Loudoun United - Miami	3:1
17.05.25	Miami - Loudoun United	2:1
03.08.24	Loudoun United - Miami	4:1
22.06.24	Miami - Loudoun United	2:2
29.07.23	Loudoun United - Miami	1:2
17.06.23	Miami - Loudoun United	1:2

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