Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Hodges Stadium (Jacksonville, FL)

Referee: Hernandez C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Sporting Jacksonville		Loudoun United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.60	1.85
	3.05	3.55	1.95
	3.33	4.02	2.01
	3.28	4.19	1.9	Watch
	3.20	4.15	1.94
	3.29	3.70	1.88	Watch
	3.30	3.70	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.96)	3.84 ↓ (3.88)	1.92 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Jacksonville
28.3%

Draw
23.9%

Loudoun United
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

23.9%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

23.8%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Jacksonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Sporting Jacksonville - Loudoun United Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sporting Jax will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Loudoun will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGuire J. (C) 18. Ackwei W. 15. Edwards R. 13. Alvarado V. 12. Rito E. 14. Jean Mota 6. Rossiter J. 21. Godinho M. 8. Kuzain W. 16. Jaaskelainen E. 10. Sadlier K.	13. Farr J. (G) 7. Niyongabire P. 2. Adnan N. 21. Akinyode B. 6. Awuah K. 8. Murphy J. (C) 23. Watts A. 22. Torres C. 28. Zouhir R. 11. Aboukoura A. 9. Davis III E.
Substitutes
42. Casas E. (G) 9. Luckhurst A. 2. Neville H. 19. Pedder R. 24. Roberts T. 44. Somersall R. 28. Underwood E. 27. Wilson D.	19. Aman R. 41. Bandre E. (G) 17. Butts L. 18. Lomtadze G. 39. Marcos Dias 5. Mazzaferro S. 20. Young S.
Coaches
Fox L.	Limbrick A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Davis III E. ⚽, Niyongabire P. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Kuzain W. ⚽, Jaaskelainen E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Zouhir R. ↓, Lomtadze G. ↑,
50', Watts A. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Torres C. ⚽, Niyongabire P. (A),
58', 1 - 3, Torres C. ⚽,
62', Godinho M. ↓, Neville H. ↑,
62', Alvarado V. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
66', Adnan N. 🟨,
72', Jaaskelainen E. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
73', 1 - 4, Davis III E. ⚽, Torres C. (A),
75', Torres C. ↓, Aman R. ↑,
75', Watts A. ↓, Young S. ↑,
77', Kuzain W. ↓, Somersall R. ↑,
77', Sadlier K. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
82', Davis III E. ↓, Butts L. ↑,
82', Awuah K. ↓, Mazzaferro S. ↑,
85', Niyongabire P. ↓, Marcos Dias ↑,
90+2', Pedder R. 🟨,

Preview

Sporting Jax has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Loudoun is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Loudoun may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Loudoun holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sporting Jax has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Championship
16.09.26	Hartford Athletic - Sporting Jacksonville	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Rhode Island	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Lexington	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Brooklyn - Sporting Jacksonville	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Birmingham Legion - Sporting Jacksonville	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LLWLW
- Loudoun United
USL Championship
19.09.26	Louisville City - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Loudoun United - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	4:5 ✺
29.08.26	El Paso Locomotive - Loudoun United	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Loudoun United - New Mexico United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
03.07.26	Loudoun United - Sporting Jacksonville	2:2

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