Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Beirne Stadium (Pawtucket, RI)


	Rhode Island		New England Revolution

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.25	Watch
	2.41	3.3	2.75
	2.48	3.4	2.77
	2.47	3.26	2.82	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	2.49	3.32	2.77	Watch
	2.41	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.9)	3.29 ↑ (3.29)	2.66 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rhode Island
37.2%

Draw
28.1%

New England Revolution
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27.7%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26.6%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rhode Island's performance.

New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New England Revolution might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhode Island that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New England Revolution could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rhode Island - New England Revolution Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lee J. (G) 14. Hope-Gund R. 15. Nodarse F. 5. Stoneman G. (C) 3. Sanchez A. 12. Holstad C. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 17. Kwizera J. 21. Rodriguez M. 10. Dikwa A. 11. Fuson N.	24. Bono A. (G) 23. Sands W. 5. Hughes K. 88. Farrell A. 15. Bye B. 11. Diaz L. 14. Yueill J. 18. Oyirwoth A. 7. Chancalay T. 37. Urruti M. 41. Langoni L.
Substitutes
18. Brito J. 16. Dewhurst C. 20. Herivaux Z. 1. Koke Vegas (G) 6. Mabika A. 8. Okiyoshi T. 19. Vang K.	9. Butts L. . Diarbian G. 31. Klein E. 30. McIntosh D. 35. Oliveira C. 16. Omsberg W. 33. Parisian D. (G)
Coaches
Smith K.	Porter C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Nodarse F. 🟨,
32', Oyirwoth A. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Chancalay T. ⚽,
45+2', Holstad C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Langoni L. ↓, Klein E. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Fuson N. (A),
63', Dikwa A. ↓, Brito J. ↑,
72', Kwizera J. ↓, Herivaux Z. ↑,
74', Diaz L. ↓, Omsberg W. ↑,
74', Oyirwoth A. ↓, Oliveira C. ↑,
80', Hope-Gund R. ↓, Mabika A. ↑,
80', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Okiyoshi T. ↑,
87', Urruti M. ↓, Butts L. ↑,
87', Chancalay T. ↓, Diarbian G. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Oliveira C. ⚽,
90+4', Klein E. 🟨,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
03.05.25	Rhode Island - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
27.04.25	Westchester SC - Rhode Island	1:4 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.25	Detroit City - Rhode Island	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Rhode Island	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
05.04.25	Oakland Roots - Rhode Island	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLWW
- New England Revolution
MLS
03.05.25	Toronto FC - New England Revolution	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Charlotte - New England Revolution	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	New England Revolution - New York City	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Atlanta United - New England Revolution	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Cincinnati - New England Revolution	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.6 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches