Match Info

MLS

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Referee: Montero R. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 3
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Atlanta United		New England Revolution

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.52	3.45	2.72	Watch
	2.55	3.58	2.77
	2.53	3.54	2.67	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.63
	2.63	3.49	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (1.98)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)	2.7 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United
37.3%

Draw
27.5%

New England Revolution
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.8%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta United's form might have worsened.

New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Atlanta United - New England Revolution Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). New England will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Atlanta (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hoyos L. (G) 47. Edwards M. 4. Mihaj E. 6. Berrocal J. 18. Amador P. 48. Sanchez C. 28. Reilly W. 88. Galarza M. 59. Miranchuk Al. (C) 11. Lobjanidze S. 22. Picault F.	30. Turner M. (G) 12. Feingold I. 22. Kohler E. 2. Fofana M. 23. Sands W. 80. Yusuf A. 21. Raines B. 41. Langoni L. 10. Gil C. (C) 7. Yow G. 11. Turgeman D.
Substitutes
3. Baez E. 20. Brennan L. 35. Fortune A. 5. Gregersen S. 2. Hernandez R. 42. Hibbert J. (G) 9. Latte Lath E. 8. Muyumba T. 30. Togashi C.	4. Beason T. 77. Fagundez D. 88. Farrell A. 32. Fry M. 38. Klein E. 25. Miller P. 35. Oliveira C. 33. Parisian D. (G) 17. Zambrano M.
Coaches
Martino G.	Mitrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Picault F. ⚽,
44', Galarza M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Edwards M. 🟨,
60', Yow G. ↓, Fagundez D. ↑,
66', Langoni L. ↓, Miller P. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Sands W. ⚽, Gil C. (A),
78', 1 - 2, Miller P. ⚽,
79', Galarza M. ↓, Muyumba T. ↑,
79', Sanchez C. ↓, Fortune A. ↑,
79', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
79', Picault F. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
87', Raines B. 🟨,
88', Reilly W. ↓, Latte Lath E. ↑,
89', Turgeman D. ↓, Klein E. ↑,
90+2', Gil C. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.

Atlanta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

New England is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, New England has had a series of home games.

Atlanta could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Atlanta: Almiron M. (Knee Injury) Alzate S. (Knee Injury) Sergio Santos (Illness)

There will not play in New England: Campana L. (Injury) Polster M. (Injury)

There are questionable in New England: Ceballos B. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 2.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United
MLS
18.04.26	Atlanta United - Nashville SC	0:2 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.26	Chattanooga - Atlanta United	1:3 ✺
MLS
11.04.26	Chicago Fire - Atlanta United	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Atlanta United - Columbus Crew	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Atlanta United - DC United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLT
- New England Revolution
MLS
18.04.26	New England Revolution - Columbus Crew	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
14.04.26	New England Revolution - Rhode Island	2:1 penalties ✺
MLS
11.04.26	New England Revolution - DC United	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	New England Revolution - CF Montréal	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	St. Louis City - New England Revolution	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
27.09.25	New England Revolution - Atlanta United	2:0
12.04.25	Atlanta United - New England Revolution	0:1
03.07.24	New England Revolution - Atlanta United	2:1
09.03.24	Atlanta United - New England Revolution	4:1
12.07.23	New England Revolution - Atlanta United	2:1
31.05.23	Atlanta United - New England Revolution	3:3
01.10.22	New England Revolution - Atlanta United	2:1

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