The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Miami 27.9%
Draw 28.1%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
30.7%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
30.1%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pittsburgh Riverhounds's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pittsburgh Riverhounds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Miami - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (G) 14. Rogers A. 13. Knutson D. (C) 2. Al Zubaidi H. 21. Milesi A. 5. Tori R. 8. Romero M. 22. Da Costa R. 9. Sonora J. 26. Rocha A. 7. Tunbridge M.
1. Campuzano N. (G) 2. Griffin D. (C) 5. Souza V. 6. Mikoy O. 16. Ydrach R. 37. Goldthorp E. 14. Mertz R. 42. Walti J. 10. Ahl C. 7. Amann T. 19. Bassett S.
Substitutes
45. Betancourt D. 4. Calfo A. 16. Diaz G. 17. Levin J. 37. Mello D. 47. Mlekus M. 12. Ndiaye B. 31. Rodriguez F. (G) 6. Tulu
3. Barnes P. 9. Dikwa A. 8. Etou B. 18. Garcia J. 28. Osumanu I. 24. Sheridan M. (G) 36. Tsukanome Y.
Coaches
Maddoni G.
Vincent R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
45+4', 1 - 0, Rocha A. ⚽, Da Costa R. (A),
45+8', 1 - 1, Amann T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Souza V. ↓, Barnes P. ↑,
57', Amann T. ↓, Dikwa A. ↑,
57', Ydrach R. ↓, Osumanu I. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Bassett S. ⚽, Griffin D. (A),
67', Tori R. 🟨,
70', Romero M. ↓, Mello D. ↑,
70', Al Zubaidi H. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
70', Rogers A. ↓, Levin J. ↑,
75', Sonora J. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,
75', Goldthorp E. ↓, Tsukanome Y. ↑,
79', Walti J. 🟨,
86', Da Costa R. ↓, Mlekus M. ↑,
86', Ahl C. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
90+6', Mikoy O. 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 2, Knutson D. ⚽, Rocha A. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1.
Miami has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Pittsburgh has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.69%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
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Room E. (G) 
Rogers A. 
Knutson D. (C) 
Al Zubaidi H. 
Milesi A. 
Tori R. 
Romero M. 
Da Costa R. 
Rocha A. 
Campuzano N. (G) 
Ydrach R. 
Levin J. 
Ndiaye B. 
Rodriguez F. (G) 
Tulu 
Dikwa A. 
Etou B. 
Osumanu I. 
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