Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: City Stadium (Richmond, VA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Richmond Kickers		Loudoun United

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.81	Watch
	3.7	3.65	1.9
	3.74	3.55	1.93
	4.23	3.44	1.81	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.85
	3.78	3.36	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.07)	3.42 ↓ (3.66)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richmond Kickers
24.2%

Draw
26.7%

Loudoun United
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.7%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

24.2%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Loudoun United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Richmond Kickers - Loudoun United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fillion Y. (G) 26. Murana M. 4. Layton S. 22. Vinberg S. 3. Anderson H. 6. Sasankhah A. 2. Barnathan D. (C) 19. Espinal D. 11. Pannholzer T. 12. O'Malley O. 9. Kirkland J.	41. Bandre E. (G) 2. Adnan N. 51. Essengue A. 21. Akinyode B. 7. Niyongabire P. 8. Murphy J. (C) 20. Young S. 15. Robinson G. 9. Ordonez A. 10. Santos P. 25. Amoh E.
Substitutes
18. Amer A. 44. Gallegos A. 34. Howell B. 7. Johnson L. 70. Lucca Dourado 99. Moore D. 35. Sneddon J. (G)	6. Awuah K. 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 39. Marcos Dias 16. Panayotou J. 33. Piras L. 17. Ulfarsson T.
Coaches
Sawatzky D.	Limbrick A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Niyongabire P. ↓, Piras L. ↑,
57', Young S. ↓, Marcos Dias ↑,
66', Amoh E. ↓, Ulfarsson T. ↑,
66', Robinson G. ↓, Awuah K. ↑,
70', Espinal D. ↓, Lucca Dourado ↑,
83', O'Malley O. ↓, Amer A. ↑,
84', Sasankhah A. 🟨,
86', Marcos Dias 🟨,
90+2', Kirkland J. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
90+3', Pannholzer T. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Lucca Dourado ⚽,
90+7', Adnan N. ↓, Panayotou J. ↑,
90+11', Fillion Y. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Richmond Kickers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Loudoun's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Loudoun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Loudoun is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Richmond Kickers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richmond Kickers
USL League One
21.03.26	Richmond Kickers - Naples	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
17.03.26	Richmond Kickers - Northern Virginia	2:0 ✺
USL League One
07.03.26	AV Alta - Richmond Kickers	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Loudoun United - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Loudoun United - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTLL
- Loudoun United
USL Championship
28.03.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Loudoun United - Miami	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
17.03.26	West Chester United - Loudoun United	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
14.03.26	Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Loudoun United - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.02.26	Loudoun United - Richmond Kickers	3:1
07.02.26	Loudoun United - Richmond Kickers	3:1
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Richmond Kickers - Loudoun United	0:1 penalties

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