Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Miami		South Georgia Tormenta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.7	3.15
	2	3.99	2.99
	1.98	3.60	3.35	Watch
	1.87	3.78	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.05)	3.77 ↓ (3.78)	3.21 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
47%

Draw
24.4%

South Georgia Tormenta
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

24.2%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

South Georgia Tormenta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Miami - South Georgia Tormenta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tormenta (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Rodriguez F. (G) 93. Garcia D. 13. Knutson D. 21. Akinyode B. 25. Jimenez I. 8. Romero M. 5. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 7. Gavilanes A. 10. Blanco S. 29. Hoyos K. 9. Bonfiglio F.	13. Jones S. (G) 58. Jimenez O. 6. Stretch C. 23. Rasheed M. 3. Gabriel Alves 14. Drey A. 22. Doyle C. 11. Nyandjo J. 16. Tunbridge M. 71. Bwana H. 9. Vivas S.
Substitutes
27. Acloque A. 16. Diaz G. 12. Martell R. (G) 26. Melano L. 36. Naranjo A. 17. Rivera R. 77. Rodriguez F. 30. Vazquez C. 11. Veron D.	19. Bazini Y. 8. Gabriel Cabral 10. Gray T. 26. Kasanzu J. 4. Nare T. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 28. Walker A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Hoyos K. ⚽, Blanco S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Knutson D. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Tunbridge M. ⚽, Jimenez O. (A),
55', Blanco S. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
57', Jimenez I. 🟨,
58', Akinyode B. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Doyle C. ⚽,
63', Bonfiglio F. 🟨,
69', Knutson D. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
69', Hoyos K. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
69', Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
72', Nyandjo J. ↓, Reid-Stephen N. ↑,
74', Vivas S. 🟨,
79', Jimenez I. ↓, Naranjo A. ↑,
81', Vivas S. ↓, Bazini Y. ↑,
81', Doyle C. ↓, Gabriel Cabral ↑,
86', Tunbridge M. ↓, Walker A. ↑,
86', Bwana H. ↓, Nare T. ↑,
90+1', Garcia C. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Miami will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Miami won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Including home match between the teams, Miami won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
19.07.25	Charleston Battery - Miami	3:0 ✺
12.07.25	Miami - Lexington	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Miami - Tulsa	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	Greenville Triumph - Miami	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
21.06.25	Detroit City - Miami	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL
- South Georgia Tormenta
USL League One
23.07.25	Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	Union Omaha - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	South Georgia Tormenta - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - South Georgia Tormenta	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Charleston Battery	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
17.04.24	Miami - South Georgia Tormenta	2:4

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