Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)


	Riga		Twente

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.72	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.8
	4.5	3.7	1.77
	4.79	3.7	1.73
	4.33	3.78	1.77	Watch
	4.4	3.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.97)	3.72 ↓ (3.85)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
21.3%

Draw
25.2%

Twente
53.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

23.4%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.9%	11.8%	85.3%

Riga - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: Twente will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Purins T. N. (G) 13. Jurkovskis R. 34. Cernomordijs A. (C) 15. Bosancic P. 3. Ngom M. 21. Musah B. 14. Babec H. 30. Pena B. 10. Aurelio D. 18. Regza M. 9. Contreras A.	1. Unnerstall L. (G) 12. Sampsted A. 2. Hilgers M. 3. Propper R. (C) 20. Brenet J. 4. Kjolo M. 23. Sadilek M. 11. Rots D. 8. Regeer Y. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. 27. Ugalde M.
Substitutes
23. Daskevics E. 24. Iberico L. 77. Mankenda G. 1. Matrevics R. (G) 93. Nguena K. 11. Soisalo M. 19. Taiwo A. 12. Zommers K. (G)	41. Besselink G. 38. Bruns M. 16. El Maach I. (G) 24. Mesbahi J. 39. Rots M. 14. Steijn S. 19. Taha Y. 22. Tyton P. (G) 10. Unuvar N. 18. Vlap M.
Coaches
Stipic T.	Oosting J.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Riga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Twente is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Twente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Twente is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Riga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
13.08.23	Riga - Metta	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Twente - Riga	2:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
06.08.23	Super Nova - Riga	1:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Riga - Kecskemeti	3:1 ET ✺
Latvian Virsliga
30.07.23	Riga - BFC Daugavpils	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
13.08.23	Almere City - Twente	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Twente - Riga	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Hammarby - Twente	1:1 ET ✺
27.07.23	Twente - Hammarby	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Schalke 04 - Twente	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Twente - Riga	2:0

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