Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 6

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Almere City		Twente

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.5	Watch
	6.5	4.8	1.46
	6.4	4.7	1.47	Watch
	6.4	4.76	1.49
	6.19	4.69	1.48	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.44
	6.55	4.75	1.45	Watch
	6.4	4.8	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.34 ↑ (5.2)	4.75 ↓ (4.78)	1.47 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almere City
15%

Draw
20.1%

Twente
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

19.8%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

19.1%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Twente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	7.1%	78.6%

Almere City - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Twente will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakker N. (G) 20. Akujobi H. 4. Visus R. 15. Lawrence J. 14. Zagaritis V. 19. Haye T. 8. Tahiri A. 17. Hansen K. 9. Robinet T. (C) 11. Kadile J. 21. Guillaume B.	1. Unnerstall L. (C) 28. van Rooij B. 2. Hilgers M. 38. Bruns M. 34. Salah-Eddine A. 8. Regeer Y. 6. Eiting C. 11. Rots D. 14. Steijn S. 7. van Bergen M. 10. Lammers S.
Substitutes
23. Balboa A. 22. Barbet T. 6. Carbonell A. 2. Dankerlui D. 27. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 3. Jacobs Jo. 24. Mattoir F. 16. Nalic A. 7. Providence R. 5. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 31. van der Wilt J. (G) 29. Wendlinger J. (G)	41. Besselink G. 16. El Maach I. (G) 21. Karssies S. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 5. Kuipers B. 3. Lagerbielke G. 30. Ltaief S. 24. Mesbahi J. 39. Rots M. 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. 18. Vlap M.
Coaches
Maduro H.	Oosting J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Steijn S. ⚽, van Rooij B. (A),
39', Eiting C. 🟨,
44', Haye T. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Steijn S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Bruns M. ↓, Van Hoorenbeeck A. ↑,
46', Eiting C. ↓, Vlap M. ↑,
46', Rots D. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
55', 0 - 3, Lammers S. ⚽, Salah-Eddine A. (A),
57', Guillaume B. ↓, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↑,
57', Haye T. ↓, Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↑,
63', van Bergen M. ↓, van Wolfswinkel R. ↑,
72', van Rooij B. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
73', 0 - 4, van Wolfswinkel R. ⚽,
75', 0 - 5, Salah-Eddine A. ⚽, Hilgers M. (A),
76', Tahiri A. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
76', Hansen K. ↓, Mattoir F. ↑,
86', Zagaritis V. ↓, Dankerlui D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

Almere City is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Twente is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Twente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Twente have a series of home games.

In this match Twente is certain favorite.

There will not play in Twente: Taha Y. (Shin Injury)

There are questionable in Twente: Sadilek M. (Shin Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almere City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Almere City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
15.09.24	Heracles Almelo - Almere City	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.24	ADO Den Haag - Almere City	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
31.08.24	Almere City - Groningen	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Almere City - PSV Eindhoven	1:7 ✺
16.08.24	Fortuna Sittard - Almere City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTLL
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
17.09.24	Twente - Heerenveen	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Twente - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Utrecht - Twente	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Twente - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Twente - Red Bull Salzburg	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
24.04.24	Twente - Almere City	3:1
13.08.23	Almere City - Twente	1:4
Club Friendly
03.12.22	Almere City - Twente	1:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.01.19	Almere City - Twente	1:3
26.10.18	Twente - Almere City	1:0

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