Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 22

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Riga Mariners		Augšdaugavas

	1	X	2
	1.07	9	14.5
	1.02	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.06	11.8	21	Watch
	1.11	7.5	12.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.1)	7.33 ↑ (6.9)	12.25 ↓ (22)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga Mariners
81.1%

Draw
11.8%

Augšdaugavas
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.7%

13.2%

4.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Augšdaugavas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Riga Mariners - Augšdaugavas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kurakins V. (C) 16. Ambrusevic K. 22. Caune M. 30. Kacanovs G. 29. Lazarevs A. 8. Pavlovskis A. 21. Poluhovics A. 5. Rogovs D. 7. Sirbu D. 23. Smirnovs I. 10. Visnakovs E.	35. Fastov A. (G) 2. Borisovs E. 26. Buks R. 10. Churney D. 3. Kharchilava S. 22. Kirikovs A. (C) 21. Kokins K. 25. Petersons M. 99. Quaye D. 11. Shokun O. 7. Volosovs T.
Substitutes
4. Janiss R. 20. Krancmanis A. 11. Lukjanovs I. 1. Semetovs R. (G) 14. Stadnik Y. A. 33. Trifonovs R. 3. Urujevs R. 15. Zamullo A.	5. Bleive J. 77. Haritonovs M. 70. Kitsel V. 9. Linards R. 14. Neverovskis K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Pavlovskis A. ⚽, Caune M. (A),
15', Rogovs D. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Pavlovskis A. ⚽, Visnakovs E. (A),
31', 2 - 1, Volosovs T. ⚽, Buks R. (A),
34', 2 - 2, Shokun O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sirbu D. ↓, Zamullo A. ↑,
48', 2 - 3, Buks R. ⚽,
57', Kirikovs A. 🟨,
62', Ambrusevic K. ↓, Stadnik Y. A. ↑,
62', Poluhovics A. ↓, Krancmanis A. ↑,
67', Shokun O. 🟨,
72', Buks R. ↓, Linards R. ↑,
74', Zamullo A. 🟨,
76', Shokun O. ↓, Haritonovs M. ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Krancmanis A. ⚽, Caune M. (A),
81', Borisovs E. ↓, Bleive J. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Rogovs D. 🟨,
90+3', Bleive J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: ) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Riga Mariners have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Augšdaugava is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Augšdaugava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Riga Mariners has had a series of away games.

In this match, Riga Mariners is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Riga Mariners won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga Mariners
Latvian 1 Liga
26.09.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Riga Mariners	0:4 ✺
20.09.25	Ogre United - Riga Mariners	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	JFK Ventspils - Riga Mariners	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Leevon PPK - Riga Mariners	2:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
17.08.25	Riga - Riga Mariners	10:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWL
- Augšdaugavas NSS
Latvian 1 Liga
27.09.25	Augšdaugavas - Rēzekne	0:5 ✺
21.09.25	Augšdaugavas - Tukums 2000 2	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ogre United - Augšdaugavas	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Augšdaugavas - JFK Ventspils	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Olaine - Augšdaugavas	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
24.05.25	Augšdaugavas - Riga Mariners	1:5

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