Match Info

CROATIA: HNL - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion HNK Rijeka (Rijeka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Rijeka		Šibenik

	1	X	2
	1.24	5	10
	1.34	4.6	9.5	Watch
	1.28	5	12
	1.28	4.84	13.99
	1.28	4.9	12.47	Watch
	1.25	4.8	13
	1.3	5.22	10.4	Watch
	1.28	5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)	4.92 ↑ (4.37)	11.55 ↑ (7.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
72.9%

Draw
19%

Šibenik
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21.2%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

19.9%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rijeka's performance.

Šibenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	3.4%	6.9%

Rijeka - Šibenik Predictions

Users Predictions: Rijeka will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zlomislic M. (C) 30. Bogojevic B. 45. Majstorovic A. 6. Radeljic S. 34. Devetak M. 18. Selahi L. 4. Jankovic N. 14. Gojak A. 8. Petrovic D. 7. Djouahra N. 10. Fruk T.	40. Filipovic I. (G) 5. Cvek L. 14. Agyemang M. 19. Zuta L. 43. Grzan S. 21. Pozo I. 36. Kavelj A. 32. Durakovic E. 88. Prekodravac M. 27. Kulusic L. 18. Santini I. (C)
Substitutes
24. Burcul B. 27. Butic S. 9. Cop D. 20. Dogan D. 3. Goda B. 21. Ilinkovic S. 2. Kitin L. 15. Manev J. 17. Menalo L. 55. Raguz P. 11. Rukavina G. 99. Todorovic A. (G)	8. Bakic O. 9. Bozic I. 1. Djakovic A. (G) 22. Kolega T. 17. Koscevic Z. 11. Laca I. 3. Liu A. 25. Mohorovic P. (G) 55. Peric S. 24. Puncec R. 28. Roca I. 30. Zdunic B.
Coaches
Djalovic R.	Vidovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Zuta L. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Fruk T. ⚽, Radeljic S. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Santini I. ⚽, Grzan S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Gojak A. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
55', Bogojevic B. ↓, Menalo L. ↑,
61', Pozo I. 🟨,
66', Kulusic L. ↓, Bozic I. ↑,
67', Santini I. 🟨,
80', Santini I. ↓, Laca I. ↑,
82', Selahi L. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
82', Jankovic N. ↓, Dogan D. ↑,
87', Pozo I. 🟨,
89', Devetak M. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
90', Prekodravac M. ↓, Peric S. ↑,
90+2', Filipovic I. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 4.

Rijeka is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Šibenik has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rijeka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rijeka is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Rijeka: Orec A. (Injury) Skoric M. (Injury)

There will not play in Šibenik: Nizic Z. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rijeka: Cop D. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:12 (average 1.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Rijeka won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:6 (average 2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
01.03.25	Gorica - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
26.02.25	Hajduk Split - Rijeka	1:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
22.02.25	Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Osijek - Rijeka	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Rijeka - Istra 1961	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWWL
- HNK Šibenik
Croatian HNL
02.03.25	Šibenik - Varaždin	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Gorica - Šibenik	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Šibenik - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Šibenik	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Šibenik - Slaven Belupo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
08.12.24	Šibenik - Rijeka	0:1
22.09.24	Rijeka - Šibenik	3:0
08.04.23	Rijeka - Šibenik	1:0
28.01.23	Šibenik - Rijeka	1:2
18.09.22	Rijeka - Šibenik	0:0
16.07.22	Šibenik - Rijeka	0:1
30.04.22	Šibenik - Rijeka	3:5

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