Match Info

HNL - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion HNK Rijeka (Rijeka)

Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	MAX Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Rijeka		Osijek

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.1
	1.85	3.40	4.20
	1.82	3.3	4.2
	1.83	3.33	4.96
	1.82	3.31	4.69	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.9
	1.87	3.47	4.37	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	3.33 ↓ (3.38)	4.45 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rijeka
51.2%

Draw
28%

Osijek
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

27.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Rijeka - Osijek Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vekic I. (G) 22. Orec A. 45. Majstorovic A. (C) 51. Husic A. 23. Lasickas J. 8. Cubelic I. 6. Pavic B. 10. Fruk T. 26. Dantas T. 19. Vignato S. 18. Adu Adjei D.	31. Malenica M. (C) 77. Mustafic S. 49. Kolarik I. 26. Jelenic L. 2. Heister M. 23. Vrbancic L. 48. Jezic J. 39. Bukvic D. 7. Dolcek I. 30. Ljatifi A. 79. Leon A.
Substitutes
5. Barco A. 91. Bodetic N. 14. Gojak A. 15. Grulovic G. 4. Jankovic N. 77. Juric A. 7. Kabadayi Y. 1. Kovac V. (G) 9. Mohebi M. 21. Puljic J. 99. Todorovic A. (G) 3. Zivkovic M.	67. Bakti B. 99. Balelo 46. Baric I. 13. Caic V. 1. Curcija N. (G) 18. Farkas N. 98. Jezic I. 47. Kalem D. 8. Mikolcic S. 16. Petrusenko O. 24. Posavec L.
Coaches
Kek M.	Bessone F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
11', Jezic J. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Leon A. ⚽, Ljatifi A. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Vignato S. ⚽, Adu Adjei D. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Adu Adjei D. ⚽, Fruk T. (A),
43', 3 - 1, Adu Adjei D. ⚽, Fruk T. (A),
45+2', Bukvic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mustafic S. ↓, Posavec L. ↑,
46', Heister M. ↓, Kalem D. ↑,
46', Jezic J. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
58', Kolarik I. ↓, Jezic I. ↑,
61', 4 - 1, Fruk T. ⚽, Vignato S. (A),
65', Dolcek I. ↓, Baric I. ↑,
69', Vignato S. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
79', Fruk T. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
80', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
85', Cubelic I. ↓, Grulovic G. ↑,
85', Dantas T. ↓, Barco A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 1.

Recent form of Rijeka has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Osijek is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rijeka is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Rijeka: Barisic T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Osijek: Matkovic A. (Knee Injury) Mejia Moscoso D. M. (Knee Injury) Shopov S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Osijek	9	5	1	3	18:14	4	16
5	Rijeka	7	4	2	1	13:7	6	14

Last Results with these Odds

Rijeka - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.04%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
31.08.26	Gorica - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Rijeka - Midtjylland	1:4 ✺
Croatian HNL
23.08.26	Rijeka - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Midtjylland - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
16.08.26	Varaždin - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLWLL
- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
30.08.26	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	3:0 ✺
23.08.26	Hajduk Split - Osijek	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Rudeš - Osijek	1:6 ✺
01.08.26	Gorica - Osijek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
12.04.26	Rijeka - Osijek	0:2
01.02.26	Osijek - Rijeka	1:0
27.10.25	Rijeka - Osijek	4:2
09.08.25	Osijek - Rijeka	0:0
23.04.25	Rijeka - Osijek	0:2
16.02.25	Osijek - Rijeka	0:2
10.11.24	Rijeka - Osijek	1:1

Upcoming Matches