Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion HNK Rijeka (Rijeka) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Slovakia	20:15	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	20:15	Sport TV


	Rijeka		Lille

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.8	Watch
	4.25	3.85	1.75
	4.15	3.8	1.79
	4.13	4.02	1.79
	4.15	4.05	1.75	Watch
	4.1	3.95	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (4.46)	3.9 ↑ (3.87)	1.78 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
22.9%

Draw
24.2%

Lille
53%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.9%

24.1%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

24.6%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.2%	16.2%	67.6%

Rijeka - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). Lille will win (votes: 25 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 52.5% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Labrovic N. (C) 28. Smolcic I. 5. Galesic N. 6. Mitrovic M. 3. Goda B. 25. Hodza V. 87. Pasalic M. 18. Selahi L. 21. Fruk T. 4. Jankovic N. 89. Ivanovic F.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 22. Santos T. 15. Yoro L. 4. Alexsandro 31. Ismaily 21. Andre B. (C) 8. Gomes A. 23. Zhegrova E. 10. Cabella R. 17. Cavaleiro I. 9. David J.
Substitutes
30. Bogojevic B. 32. Cabraja M. 66. Dilaver E. 23. Grgic A. 27. Ilinkovic S. 20. Lepinjica I. 8. Liber A. 9. Obregon J. 45. Todorovic A. (G) 77. Veiga D. 12. Vukcevic A. 13. Zlomislic M. (G)	18. Diakite B. 5. Gudmundsson G. 7. Haraldsson H. 16. Jakubech A. (G) 34. Malouda A. 20. Miramon I. 40. Negrel T. (G) 14. Umtiti S. 12. Yazici Y. 13. Zedadka A.
Coaches
Sopic Z.	Fonseca P.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lille is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
27.08.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Lille - Rijeka	2:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
20.08.23	Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Rijeka - B36 Torshavn	2:0 ✺
10.08.23	B36 Torshavn - Rijeka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWW
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
27.08.23	Lorient - Lille	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Lille - Rijeka	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.08.23	Lille - Nantes	2:0 ✺
11.08.23	Nice - Lille	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Brentford - Lille	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Lille - Rijeka	2:1

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