Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB Beker - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Sportpark Middelmors (Rijnsburg)


	Rijnsburgse Boys		Roda

	1	X	2
	3.4	4	1.95
	3.2	3.6	1.93
	3.4	4	1.95
	3.01	4.08	1.94
	3.24	4.09	1.95	Watch
	3.2	3.7	1.95
	3.25	3.78	2.03
	3.4	4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (4.5)	3.91 ↑ (3.9)	1.96 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijnsburgse Boys
28.5%

Draw
23.8%

Roda
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

23.5%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

24.2%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijnsburgse Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rijnsburgse Boys's performance.

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijnsburgse Boys than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rijnsburgse Boys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rijnsburgse Boys - Roda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zonneveld W. (G) 4. Walraven D. 6. Ros B. 5. Zandbergen R. 26. van Kempen M. 30. van Rooijen S. 10. Spruijt J. 8. Klaver N. 22. Asante D. 14. van der Weijden M. 7. Kariouh I.	90. Marsman N. (G) 24. Markelo N. 3. Oude Kotte T. (C) 4. Koglin B. 8. Muller J. P. 10. Schwirten J. 20. Leijten R. 15. Beerten L. 11. Griffith I. 9. Cukur T. 7. Pena Zauner E.
Substitutes
21. Bijen T. 17. de Haas J. 2. Gielisse R. 24. Lesger P. (G) 11. Slierendrecht A. 15. van der Meer R. 9. Van der Moot D. 3. van der Plas D. 20. van Haaften T. 29. van Ommeren G. 16. Zuidema G. (G)	97. Baeten T. 27. Bangura S. 17. Dzepar O. 26. El Meliani R. 22. Kruiver J. 32. Moro I. (G) 13. Roseler N. 47. Seedorf C. 33. Timmermans J. 16. Treichel J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Asante D. ⚽, Spruijt J. (A),
33', 2 - 0, van der Weijden M. ⚽, Asante D. (A),
41', Pena Zauner E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Oude Kotte T. ↓, Dzepar O. ↑,
46', Leijten R. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
46', Griffith I. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Seedorf C. ⚽,
66', van der Weijden M. ↓, Van der Moot D. ↑,
75', Klaver N. 🟨,
78', van Kempen M. ↓, Kramer S. ↑,
78', Kariouh I. ↓, Bijen T. ↑,
82', Ros B. 🟨,
84', 3 - 1, Van der Moot D. ⚽,
85', Muller J. P. ↓, Bangura S. ↑,
87', van Rooijen S. ↓, van der Plas D. ↑,
90', Seedorf C. 🟨,

Preview

Rijnsburgse Boys is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Roda is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rijnsburgse Boys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Roda will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rijnsburgse Boys won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Including matches at home between the teams Rijnsburgse Boys won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rijnsburgse Boys
Dutch Tweede Divisie
26.10.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - BVV Barendrecht	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Koninklijke HFC - Rijnsburgse Boys	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - Amsterdamsche FC	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Rijnsburgse Boys	0:5 ✺
28.09.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - Katwijk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWWL
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.10.24	Roda - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
21.10.24	Helmond Sport - Roda	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	ADO Den Haag - Roda	3:0 ✺
04.10.24	Roda - Excelsior	3:0 ✺
27.09.24	FC Eindhoven - Roda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
25.09.13	Rijnsburgse Boys - Roda	1:2

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