Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade)

Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Roda		Jong Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.57	4.1	4.75
	1.62	4.15	4.7
	1.62	4.38	4.97
	1.93	3.74	3.52	Watch
	1.63	4.25	4.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)	4.14 ↑ (3.9)	4.57 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
56.7%

Draw
22.7%

Jong Ajax
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Roda - Jong Ajax Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Roda will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 18. Kother T. 4. Nisbet J. 8. Muller J. P. 14. Breij M. 6. Paulissen M. 7. Seedorf C. 9. van den Hurk A.	1. Reverson P. (G) 2. Appiah A. 3. Johnson J. 4. Bouwman A. 5. Jetten L. 8. Steur S. 6. Verkuijl M. 7. O'Niel D. 10. Bounida R. 11. Wolff K. 9. Konadu D.
Substitutes
15. Beerten L. 16. Cooper-Love J. 26. El Meliani R. 28. Foss J. 11. Griffith I. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 20. Leijten R. 10. Schwirten J. 29. Takidine I. 2. Timmermans J. 21. Zich B. (G)	21. Kalokoh D. 16. Messori L. 20. Ouazane A. 23. Ouazane Z. 18. Peters T. 12. Setford C. (G) 22. Unuvar E. 15. van de Pavert R. 17. van der Vaart D. 19. Vink S.
Coaches
van Dessel K.	Weijs W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Wolff K. ⚽, Appiah A. (A),
21', Reverson P. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, van den Hurk A. (Pen),
39', Breij M. 🟨,
39', Kruiver J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Wolff K. ⚽, Bounida R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 2 - 2, van den Hurk A. ⚽,
63', Bouwman A. ↓, van de Pavert R. ↑,
63', Verkuijl M. ↓, Peters T. ↑,
64', Paulissen M. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
64', Seedorf C. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
70', Wolff K. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
70', O'Niel D. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
73', Maiorano L. 🟨,
77', van de Pavert R. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
79', van den Hurk A. ↓, Takidine I. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Maiorano L. ⚽, Van den Buijs D. (A),
81', Maiorano L. 🟨,
88', Appiah A. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 3, Vink S. ⚽, Konadu D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 3.

Roda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Roda is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Jong Ajax: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Bouwman A. (Knock)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Roda won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.08.25	Roda - FC Eindhoven	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	VVV-Venlo - Roda	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	Roda - De Graafschap	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Helmond Sport - Roda	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Roda - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWT
- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.08.25	Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax	4:3 ✺
18.08.25	Jong Ajax - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:1 ✺
08.08.25	Den Bosch - Jong Ajax	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Jong Ajax - FC Oss	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.12.24	Jong Ajax - Roda	3:1
25.10.24	Roda - Jong Ajax	2:1
26.04.24	Jong Ajax - Roda	1:1
27.10.23	Roda - Jong Ajax	2:1
23.01.23	Jong Ajax - Roda	1:2
12.08.22	Roda - Jong Ajax	1:0
08.04.22	Roda - Jong Ajax	2:2

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