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Current Win Probability
Roda 30.5%
Draw 26.4%
Excelsior 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
25.2%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
24.8%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
22.2%
77.8%
Roda - Excelsior Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 45% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 13. Roseler N. (C) 3. Oude Kotte T. 8. Muller J. P. 15. Beerten L. 17. Dzepar O. 77. Sejdiu P. 97. Baeten T. 10. Schwirten J. 9. Cukur T.
1. Raatsie C. (G) 22. de Almeida Reis J. 5. Widell C. (C) 4. Warmerdam D. 32. de Moes S. 20. Hartjes L. 15. Naujoks N. 24. Eijgenraam J. 7. Fini S. 9. Omorowa R. 21. Donkor J.
Substitutes
27. Bangura S. 11. Griffith I. 4. Koglin B. 21. Kongolo R. 18. Kother T. 28. Krawczyk S. 20. Leijten R. 24. Markelo N. 90. Marsman N. (G) 7. Pena Zauner E. 47. Seedorf C. 33. Timmermans J.
33. Bergraaf J. 11. Booth Z. 38. Kuiper P. (G) 18. Loeffen S. 28. Middendorp S. 14. Rosario R. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 34. Seymor S. 29. van Duinen M.
Coaches
Sibum B.
den Uil R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Baeten T. ⚽, Cukur T. (A),
40', de Almeida Reis J. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
45+3', 2 - 0, Sejdiu P. ⚽, Cukur T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Donkor J. ↓, Sanches Fernandes D. ↑,
46', Warmerdam D. ↓, Seymor S. ↑,
57', Beerten L. ↓, Kongolo R. ↑,
57', Schwirten J. ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
57', Sejdiu P. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
58', Kruiver J. 🟨,
62', de Moes S. 🟨,
71', 3 - 0, Seedorf C. ⚽, Baeten T. (A),
78', de Moes S. ↓, Loeffen S. ↑,
78', Eijgenraam J. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
80', Kruiver J. ↓, Markelo N. ↑,
80', Oude Kotte T. ↓, Koglin B. ↑,
82', van Duinen M. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Roda won 1.
Recent matches Roda is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Excelsior is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Excelsior will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Roda: Jansen K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Excelsior: Bronkhorst I.
(Yellow Cards)
Duijvestijn L.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Roda: Bucker K.
(Knee Injury)
Koglin B.
(Illness)
There are questionable in Excelsior: Pierie K.
(Foot Injury)
Sanches Fernandes D.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Roda won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:25 (average 1.6:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Roda won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.6:2).