Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 36

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Jan Louwers Stadion (Eindhoven)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	FC Eindhoven		Roda

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.75	2.25
	2.82	3.7	2.22	Watch
	2.88	3.8	2.3
	2.71	3.68	2.36	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.2
	2.86	3.68	2.24	Watch
	2.33	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.44)	3.66 ↑ (3.55)	2.31 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Eindhoven
34.1%

Draw
25.5%

Roda
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

FC Eindhoven - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Roda will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FC Eindhoven: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borgmans J. (G) 22. Essers C. 3. Limouri F. 33. Neeskens J. 24. Renfrum O. 14. Deenen H. 5. Huisman D. (C) 16. Blomme X. 2. Simons T. 8. Simons S. 9. van Veen K.	1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 5. Jansen K. 8. Muller J. P. 15. Beerten L. 4. Nisbet J. 14. Breij M. 9. van den Hurk A. (C) 11. Griffith I.
Substitutes
29. Ali H. 7. Blummel S. 20. Bryson A. 19. Elbers J. 30. Fancito D. N. (G) 23. Lukoki Mateso E. 21. Muller T. 18. Munsters N. 15. van Berkel N. 27. van de Wetering M. 10. van Schuppen B. 31. van Zutphen R. (G)	24. Deom J. 26. El Meliani R. 35. Janssen F. 27. Kalinauskas T. 20. Leijten R. 34. Maiorano L. 6. Paulissen M. 7. Seedorf C. 23. Steins J. (G) 2. Timmermans J. 19. Wiedesheim-Paul R. 21. Zich B. (G)
Coaches
Poortvliet J.	van Dessel K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, van den Hurk A. ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Essers C. ⚽,
30', Deenen H. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Essers C. ↓, van de Wetering M. ↑,
53', van Veen K. 🟨,
64', 1 - 2, van den Hurk A. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Blomme X. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
72', Jansen K. ↓, El Meliani R. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Muller J. P. ⚽,
80', Neeskens J. ↓, Munsters N. ↑,
80', Huisman D. ↓, Bryson A. ↑,
82', Renfrum O. 🟨,
85', Griffith I. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
86', Muller J. P. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
86', Breij M. ↓, Deom J. ↑,
90+2', Tol M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Roda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in FC Eindhoven: Brondeel J. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Roda: 3.87% Eindhoven FC: 0.72%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	2	16
15	Eindhoven FC	10	3	2	5	15:22	-7	11

Last Results with these Odds

Roda - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.65%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.04.26	ADO Den Haag - FC Eindhoven	4:0 ✺
03.04.26	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	FC Eindhoven - Emmen	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	FC Oss - FC Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Jong PSV - FC Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWLW
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.04.26	Roda - Willem II	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Dordrecht - Roda	0:3 ✺
20.03.26	Roda - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Roda - Vitesse	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Cambuur - Roda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.08.25	Roda - FC Eindhoven	0:0
09.05.25	Roda - FC Eindhoven	0:1
27.09.24	FC Eindhoven - Roda	0:0
22.01.24	Roda - FC Eindhoven	3:0
06.11.23	FC Eindhoven - Roda	1:1
05.05.23	Roda - FC Eindhoven	1:2
16.09.22	FC Eindhoven - Roda	3:3

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