The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boavista 18.6%
Draw 28.3%
Santa Clara 53.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
29.7%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
29.6%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Clara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Clara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
0%
92.9%
Boavista - Santa Clara Predictions
Users Predictions:
Santa Clara will win
(26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%). Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Vaclik T. (G) 5. Lystsov V. 26. Abascal R. (C) 13. Fogning S. 2. Camara I. 18. Vukotic I. 8. van Ginkel M. 16. Silva J. 7. Agra S. 9. Bozenik R. 14. Kone M.
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 21. Venancio F. 13. Rocha L. 32. Araujo M. 2. Diogo Calila 6. Adriano Firmino 8. Ferreira P. 3. Matheus Pereira 10. Ricardinho 70. Vinicius Lopes 11. Gabriel Silva
Substitutes
11. Ariyibi G. 71. Barros J. 1. Cesar (G) 25. Dabo A. 21. Diaby A. 15. Gomes P. 17. Namora M. 24. Perez S. 19. Vitoria S.
17. Costa J. 41. Daniel Borges 42. Lucas Soares 7. Matheusinho 12. Neneca (G) 27. Ramos G. 35. Serginho 23. Sidney Lima 22. Silva H.
Coaches
Vidigal L.
Matos V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Kone M. ↓, Ariyibi G. ↑,
45+1', Lystsov V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fogning S. 🟨,
59', Vinicius Lopes 🟨,
63', van Ginkel M. ↓, Diaby A. ↑,
63', Silva J. ↓, Vitoria S. ↑,
68', Ricardinho ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
71', Venancio F. 🟨,
74', Diogo Calila ↓, Lucas Soares ↑,
74', Venancio F. ↓, Sidney Lima ↑,
75', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Costa J. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Lystsov V. ⚽,
83', Adriano Firmino ↓, Serginho ↑,
84', Bozenik R. 🟨,
84', Sidney Lima 🟨,
85', Bozenik R. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
90+5', Diaby A. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 5).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 2.
Boavista has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Santa Clara is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Boavista could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.
There will not play in Boavista: Dabo A.
(Injury)
Joao Goncalves
(Knee Injury)
Kurzawa L.
(Muscle Injury)
Moraes Pires L. H.
(Knee Injury)
Reisinho M.
(Red Card)
Silva T.
(Injury)
There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Boavista: Ribeiro M.
(Inactive)
Our prediction for today's Santa Clara to win the game is with odds 1.89.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Boavista won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.7:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
Finland
Portugal
Romania
South-america
Ukraine
Usa
Venezuela
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Vaclik T. (G) 
Lystsov V. 
Abascal R. (C) 
Fogning S. 
Camara I. 
Vukotic I. 
van Ginkel M. 
Silva J. 
Bozenik R. 
Kone M. 
Gabriel Batista (C) 
Ariyibi G. 
Dabo A. 
Diaby A. 
Perez S. 
Vitoria S. 
Vidigal L. 
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