Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	ESPN 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, SportsEngine Play


	Estrela da Amadora		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	9.00	4.75	1.30	Watch
	8.50	5.25	1.32
	10.50	5.50	1.27	Watch
	10.76	5.94	1.30
	11.33	5.94	1.26	Watch
	9.65	5.50	1.29
	10.10	5.95	1.31
	8.00	5.20	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.73 ↓ (12.76)	5.5 ↓ (6.38)	1.3 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
9.7%

Draw
17.2%

Sporting Lisbon
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.3%

14.6%

78%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	15.4%	84.6%

Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Leo Linck (G) 21. Scholze M. 30. Luan Patrick (C) 4. Bernardo Schappo 55. Rafa Soares 78. Serra S. 39. Doue G. 99. Marcus A. 14. Zvonarek L. 10. Stoica I. 37. Antonetti L.	1. Silva R. (G) 13. Vagiannidis G. 72. Quaresma E. 25. Inacio G. (C) 50. Dias R. 5. Altimira S. 77. Doumbia I. 10. Catamo G. 17. Zalazar R. 58. Goncalves F. 7. Ioannidis F.
Substitutes
80. Alisson Souza 79. Chernev A. 17. Encada J. 22. Grilo D. (G) 3. Mincarelli L. 28. Moustier T. 71. Pedro Vanga E. 51. Pinto D. (G) 72. Poniewas H. 8. Robinho 93. Souza B. 9. van Hooijdonk S.	4. Andersen S. 28. Derry J. 41. Diego Callai (G) 26. Diomande O. 73. Felicissimo E. 22. Fresneda I. 31. Luis Guilherme 9. Nel R. 21. Pedro Lima 97. Suarez L. 12. Virginia J. (G)
Coaches
Miguel P.	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Zalazar R. ⚽, Catamo G. (A),
52', Doue G. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Ioannidis F. ⚽, Zalazar R. (A),
61', Ioannidis F. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
61', Goncalves F. ↓, Andersen S. ↑,
65', Serra S. ↓, Robinho ↑,
67', Suarez L. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Antonetti L. ⚽, Stoica I. (A),
74', Stoica I. ↓, Souza B. ↑,
74', Scholze M. ↓, Encada J. ↑,
78', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Fresneda I. ↑,
78', Catamo G. ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
82', Doumbia I. ↓, Derry J. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Souza B. ⚽, Robinho (A),
89', Antonetti L. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
90', Marcus A. ↓, Alisson Souza ↑,
90+2', Souza B. 🟨,
90+2', Derry J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 0.

Estrela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Ba I. (Injury) Debast Z. (Leg Injury) Santos N. (Muscle Injury) Simoes J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Estrela: Drame I. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:22. (average 0.7:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	20:9	11	18
9	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14:14	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Lisbon - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 78.05%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Estrela da Amadora - Al-Nassr Riyadh	4:2 ✺
23.07.26	Estrela da Amadora - Nacional	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Braga - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
11.05.26	Estrela da Amadora - Famalicão	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWTTL
- Sporting Lisbon
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Nottingham Forest	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Monaco	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Strasbourg	7:0 ✺
14.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Celtic	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.05.26	Sporting Lisbon - Torreense	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
11.04.26	Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon	0:1
30.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Estrela da Amadora	4:0
29.03.25	Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon	0:3
01.11.24	Sporting Lisbon - Estrela da Amadora	5:1
29.03.24	Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon	1:2
05.11.23	Sporting Lisbon - Estrela da Amadora	3:2
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Sporting Lisbon - Estrela da Amadora	4:1

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