Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Rio Ave		Varzim

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	8	Watch
	1.41	4.1	7.75
	1.4	4.1	6.75
	1.38	4.3	8.2
	1.4	4.4	10.06
	1.38	3.8	8
	1.41	4.25	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.48)	4.16 ↑ (3.69)	8.05 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
66.4%

Draw
22.2%

Varzim
11.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

24.8%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.1%

20.4%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Ave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Rio Ave - Varzim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Rio Ave is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Varzim is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varzim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rio Ave is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rio Ave to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Portuguese Liga 2
23.01.22	Rio Ave - Farense	2:1 ✺
19.01.22	Académica Coimbra - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.22	Rio Ave - Tondela	0:1 ET ✺
23.12.21	Rio Ave - BSAD	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
19.12.21	Casa Pia - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWW
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
22.01.22	Varzim - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
08.01.22	Mafra - Varzim	0:0 ✺
20.12.21	Covilhã - Varzim	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Varzim - Trofense	1:3 ✺
02.12.21	Casa Pia - Varzim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.08.21	Varzim - Rio Ave	0:3
Portuguese League Cup
25.07.21	Varzim - Rio Ave	1:2 penalties
Club Friendly
16.07.16	Varzim - Rio Ave	0:4

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
01.11.26	Académico de Viseu - Rio Ave	✺

Rio Ave - Varzim