Match Info

Date: 23 December 2021, Thursday


	Rio Ave		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.75
	1.93	3.1	3.6	Watch
	1.96	3.3	3.5
	1.96	3.05	3.85
	2.03	3.28	4.2
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2	3.28	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.41)	3.17 ↑ (3.11)	3.78 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
46.6%

Draw
29%

BSAD
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

20.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Ave's performance.

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BSAD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Ave that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+22.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BSAD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	11.9%	9.5%

Rio Ave - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 33 - 78.6%). BSAD will win (votes: 4 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 66.2% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Rio Ave is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Belenenses is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Ave could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rio Ave will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Ave won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Portuguese Liga 2
19.12.21	Casa Pia - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
15.12.21	Porto - Rio Ave	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.12.21	Rio Ave - Mafra	1:2 ✺
04.12.21	Benfica B - Rio Ave	2:0 ✺
28.11.21	Rio Ave - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLLW
- BSAD
Liga Portugal
19.12.21	Braga - BSAD	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	BSAD - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
27.11.21	BSAD - Benfica	0:7 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.11.21	Caldas - BSAD	3:5 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.11.21	Portimonense - BSAD	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
21.03.21	Rio Ave - BSAD	0:0
06.11.20	BSAD - Rio Ave	0:0
29.02.20	Rio Ave - BSAD	0:0
21.09.19	BSAD - Rio Ave	0:2
20.04.19	BSAD - Rio Ave	1:3
16.12.18	Rio Ave - BSAD	2:2
14.01.18	BSAD - Rio Ave	1:2

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