The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rio Branco-VN 33.9%
Draw 31%
Serra 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
30.7%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
21.5%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Branco-VN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Branco-VN's form might have worsened.
Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serra's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco-VN than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Branco-VN that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Rio Branco-VN is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Serra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Rio Branco-VN won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Rio Branco-VN won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.