Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 10 June 2023, Saturday

Location: H-E-B Park (Edinburg)

Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)


	Rio Grande Valley		Miami

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.2	3.5
	1.98	3.35	3.5
	1.94	3.38	3.91
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.92	3.38	3.72	Watch
	1.96	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.04)	3.3 ↓ (3.38)	3.62 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Grande Valley
47.1%

Draw
27.7%

Miami
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

25.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Rio Grande Valley - Miami Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Merancio C. (G) 16. Coronado R. 4. Pimentel E. 17. Cerro I. 3. Ackwei W. 5. Cabezas J. (C) 15. Nodarse F. 12. Ruiz R. 7. Torres F. 13. Cabrera W. 9. Lopez F.	13. Zendejas A. (G) 5. Chapman-Page C. 4. Craig P. (C) 6. Hernandez M. 23. Thorn C. 20. Mines B. 8. Cabral G. 3. Stanley A. 2. Segbers M. 14. Telfer R. 9. Murphy K.
Substitutes
8. Davila T. 1. Deric T. (G) 23. Francois C. 18. Herrera D. 19. Kinzner E. 29. Pinzon C. 20. Ritondale T.	15. Di Mercurio L. 18. Dowouna D. 1. McGuire J. (G) 22. Ofeimu B. 7. Repetto C. 17. Salazar M. 99. Sorto C.
Coaches
Cabrera W.	Pulis A.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 11).

Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (34.94%), project points - 34, currently - 11, a small chance of playoffs (14%), a very small chance of qtrs (4%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Miami has the most likely position - 9 (13.9%), project points - 39, currently - 12, a good chance of playoffs (54%), a chance of qtrs (19%), a small chance of semis (7%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has small quality 12, small importance 18, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The competitors look crappy now.

Rio Grande Valley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
03.06.23	Orange County SC - Rio Grande Valley	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Rio Grande Valley - Charleston Battery	0:2 ✺
20.05.23	Rio Grande Valley - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:3 ✺
13.05.23	San Diego Loyal - Rio Grande Valley	2:3 ✺
05.05.23	Rio Grande Valley - New Mexico United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWT
- Miami FC
USL Championship
03.06.23	Memphis 901 - Miami	5:1 ✺
27.05.23	Miami - Orange County SC	0:0 ✺
20.05.23	Miami - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
13.05.23	Louisville City - Miami	3:1 ✺
03.05.23	Miami - Birmingham Legion	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
06.06.21	Miami - Rio Grande Valley	2:4

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