The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orange County SC 44%
Draw 28.1%
Rio Grande Valley 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
26%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
25.4%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Orange County SC - Rio Grande Valley Predictions
Users Predictions:
Orange County SC will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Shutler C. (G) 2. Lambe O. 30. Nakkim M. (C) 5. Powers D. 23. Doghman R. 12. Pedersen D. 10. Iloski B. 8. Casiple S. 26. Scott K. 18. Osundina K. 7. Iloski M.
21. Merancio C. (G) 19. Kinzner E. 3. Ackwei W. 16. Coronado R. 15. Nodarse F. 8. Davila T. 5. Cabezas J. (C) 12. Ruiz R. 9. Lopez F. 13. Cabrera W. 23. Francois C.
Substitutes
21. Amang T. O. 14. Bjorshol M. 1. Cropper C. (G) 6. Fox A. 11. Jamieson B. 9. McNulty M. 16. Richards B.
17. Cerro I. 1. Deric T. (G) 18. Herrera D. 4. Pimentel E. 20. Ritondale T. 25. Rivera D. 7. Torres F.
Coaches
Karlsen M.
Cabrera W.
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 10).
Orange County SC has the most likely position - 10 (17.68%), project points - 40, currently - 10, a chance of playoffs (35%), a small chance of qtrs (13%), a small chance of semis (6%), a very small chance of final (2%), a very small chance of win league (1%).
Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (30.01%), project points - 35, currently - 11, a chance of playoffs (17%), a very small chance of qtrs (5%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality13, small importance21, small match rating17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 3.
Orange County SC is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Rio Grande Valley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Orange County SC will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Orange County SC won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.
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Shutler C. (G) 
Nakkim M. (C) 
Pedersen D. 
Scott K. 
Merancio C. (G) 
Ackwei W. 
Nodarse F. 
Cabezas J. (C) 
Francois C. 
Amang T. O. 
McNulty M. 
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