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Current Win Probability
Monterey Bay 39.8%
Draw 26%
New Mexico United 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
26.8%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
28.2%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Monterey Bay - New Mexico United Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. New Mexico will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Dalton C. (G) 47. Elliot Q. 25. Egwu K. 32. Farnsworth Z. 17. Glasgow O. 4. Ross N. 14. Nakamura R. 11. Leggett W. 88. Lletget S. (C) 16. Jacob Montes 20. Paul I.
13. Shakes K. (G) 17. LaCava J. 4. Keller K. 2. Hamalainen N. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 19. Bailey Z. 11. Nava C. 21. Noel V. 31. Melto Quiah J. 10. Hurst G. (C)
Substitutes
15. Barajas F. 18. Belmar J. 23. Blancas E. 1. Delgado F. (G) 22. Garcia J. 21. Otoya D. 3. Ritchie S. 30. Villasana A.
56. Arozarena R. (G) 24. Blackett T. 5. Harris D. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 9. Rennicks J. 28. Wilkerson C. 6. Zelalem G.
Coaches
Covelo A.
Sanchez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Noel V. ⚽, Gloster C. (A),
17', Jabang O. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Nakamura R. ⚽, Jacob Montes (A),
39', Elliot Q. 🟨,
44', Nava C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Nava C. ↓, Reid-Stephen N. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Lletget S. ⚽, Glasgow O. (A),
63', LaCava J. ↓, Wilkerson C. ↑,
63', Gloster C. ↓, Blackett T. ↑,
66', Jacob Montes ↓, Barajas F. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Hurst G. ⚽, Noel V. (A),
75', Melto Quiah J. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
76', Elliot Q. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
76', Leggett W. ↓, Otoya D. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Noel V. ⚽, Jabang O. (A),
86', 2 - 4, Harris D. ⚽, Hamalainen N. (A),
88', Nakamura R. ↓, Blancas E. ↑,
88', Glasgow O. ↓, Ritchie S. ↑,
90', Hurst G. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 5, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽, Harris D. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1.
Monterey Bay is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
New Mexico is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that New Mexico will win today's game, with odds of 2.85.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
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Dalton C. (G) 
Egwu K. 
Glasgow O. 
Ross N. 
Nakamura R. 
Jacob Montes 
Hamalainen N. 
Bailey Z. 
Noel V. 
Melto Quiah J. 
Barajas F. 
Belmar J. 
Otoya D. 
Arozarena R. (G) 
Blackett T. 
Harris D. 
Reid-Stephen N. 
Covelo A. 
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