Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 23

Date: 5 July 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport


	River Plate		Colón

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	15	Watch
	1.2	6.75	13
	1.22	6.5	12
	1.2	7.34	13.52
	1.17	5.5	12
	1.18	7	14.75	Watch
	1.19	6.4	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.32)	6.57 ↑ (4.87)	13.32 ↑ (8.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
78.7%

Draw
14.3%

Colón
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

19.1%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

18.3%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	4.3%	0%

River Plate - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Armani F. (G) 20. Casco M. 14. Gonzalez L. 17. Diaz P. 13. Diaz E. H. 24. Perez E. (C) 29. Aliendro R. 11. de la Cruz N. 10. Nacho Fernandez 21. Barco E. 18. Beltran L.	17. Chicco I. (G) 48. Yossen T. 36. Nardelli G. 33. Garces F. 6. Goltz P. 21. Meza E. 34. Moreyra S. 5. Vega C. 14. Perlaza B. 10. Farias F. 30. Pierotti S.
Substitutes
35. Alfonso F. 33. Centurion E. (G) 19. Echeverri C. 30. Gomez E. 15. Herrera Mansilla Barrios M. A. 22. Kranevitter M. 9. Miguel Borja 8. Palavecino A. 26. Paradela J. 2. Rojas R. 25. Rondon S. 31. Simon S.	9. Abila R. 26. Arrua C. 92. Benitez J. 19. Galvan T. 12. Ibanez M. (G) 7. Neris P. 29. Picco L. 8. Silva G. 28. Teuten A. 47. Utrera N.
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Gorosito N.

Preview

River Plate is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Colón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in River Plate: Lopez E. (Injury) Martinez D. (Injury) Zuculini B. (Injury)

There will not play in Colón: Acevedo L. (Injury) Ibanez J. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.07.23	Barracas Central - River Plate	2:1 ✺
22.06.23	River Plate - Instituto Córdoba	3:1 ✺
12.06.23	Banfield - River Plate	1:4 ✺
04.06.23	River Plate - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
29.05.23	Vélez Sársfield - River Plate	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWT
- CA Colón
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.07.23	Colón - Racing	0:4 ✺
25.06.23	Rosario Central - Colón	1:1 ✺
13.06.23	Colón - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	San Lorenzo - Colón	0:0 ✺
29.05.23	Colón - Central Córdoba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.06.22	Colón - River Plate	1:0
Argentinian Trofeo de Campeones
18.12.21	Colón - River Plate	0:4
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.07.21	River Plate - Colón	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.04.21	River Plate - Colón	3:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.09.12	Colón - River Plate	1:1

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