Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 22

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Colón		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.7	3	2.7
	2.75	3.1	2.75
	2.88	2.99	2.85
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.76	3.04	2.73	Watch
	2.7	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.42)	3.03 ↑ (2.89)	2.76 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
34.9%

Draw
31%

Racing
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.8%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

33.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Colón - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Chicco I. (G) 36. Nardelli G. 33. Garces F. (C) 40. Delgado R. 28. Teuten A. 21. Meza E. 34. Moreyra S. 29. Picco L. 10. Farias F. 9. Abila R. 92. Benitez J.	21. Arias G. (C) 33. Piovi G. 35. Quiros S. 3. Rojas G. 6. Aviles T. 5. Nardoni J. 29. Moreno A. 11. Gomez J. 23. Oroz N. 15. Romero M. 7. Hauche G.
Substitutes
26. Arrua C. 19. Galvan T. 6. Goltz P. 12. Ibanez M. (G) 7. Neris P. 30. Pierotti S. 8. Silva G. 5. Vega C.	31. Cabellos C. 24. Fertoli H. 8. Galvan J. 27. Moralez M. 34. Mura F. 26. Ojeda A. 22. Paolo Guerrero 28. Perez T. 37. Rodriguez B. 30. Sigali L. 13. Tagliamonte M. (G) 55. Vera S.
Coaches
Gorosito N.	Gago F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colón won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Colón: Acevedo L. (Injury) Ibanez J. (Injury)

There will not play in Racing: Carbonero J. (Injury) Miranda L. (Injury) Vecchio E. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Colón won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.06.23	Rosario Central - Colón	1:1 ✺
13.06.23	Colón - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	San Lorenzo - Colón	0:0 ✺
29.05.23	Colón - Central Córdoba	2:2 ✺
21.05.23	Colón - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTTT
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Copa Libertadores
28.06.23	Racing - Ñublense	4:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.06.23	Racing - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
17.06.23	Racing - Vélez Sársfield	2:1 ✺
12.06.23	Instituto Córdoba - Racing	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.06.23	Flamengo - Racing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.10.22	Colón - Racing	0:2
21.11.21	Racing - Colón	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
04.06.21	Colón - Racing	3:0
25.04.21	Racing - Colón	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.02.20	Colón - Racing	1:1
09.03.19	Colón - Racing	1:1
14.05.18	Racing - Colón	1:3

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