The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
River Plate 61.2%
Draw 26.1%
Deportivo Riestra 12.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
27.5%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.5%
28.3%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.
Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Riestra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Riestra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
98.1%
0%
1.9%
River Plate - Deportivo Riestra Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.25 - River Plate (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
River Plate will win
(53 of 54 users predict this - 98.15%). Confidence interval (95%): 94.56% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): River Plate will win (50 of 50 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 51 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 51 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Armani F. (C) 16. Bustos F. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 17. Diaz P. 21. Acuna M. 5. Portillo J. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 10. Quintero J. 22. Castano K. 7. Salas M. 9. Miguel Borja
1. Arce I. (G) 15. Sansotre N. 24. Mino F. 22. Paz C. 6. Barbieri M. 5. Ramirez P. 27. Goitia J. 14. Monje P. 20. Diaz A. 7. Alonso A. 9. Herrera J.
Substitutes
33. Agustin De la Cuesta 14. Boselli S. 20. Casco M. 11. Colidio F. 27. Dadin B. 26. Fernandez N. 23. Galarza M. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 39. Lencina S. 4. Montiel G. 13. Rivero L.
32. Benegas N. 36. Bracamonte M. 3. Caro Nicolas 30. Landriel L. 12. Manganelli N. (G) 40. Obredor G. 23. Ramirez M. 19. Randazzo J. 28. Sayavedra R. 31. Smarra M. 35. Stringa A. 10. Vera S.
Coaches
Gallardo M.
Benitez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Barbieri M. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Alonso A. ⚽, Monje P. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Giuliano Galoppo ⚽, Salas M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Ramirez P. ⚽, Monje P. (A),
62', Alonso A. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
62', Herrera J. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
65', Diaz A. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
66', Benegas N. 🟨,
66', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
66', Castano K. ↓, Lencina S. ↑,
72', Barbieri M. ↓, Randazzo J. ↑,
75', Bustos F. ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
81', Salas M. 🟥,
84', Sansotre N. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Recent performances by River Plate have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo Riestra is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, River Plate is the clear favorite.
There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G.
(Inactive)
Martinez P.
(Calf Injury)
Meza M.
(Knee Injury)
Pezzella G.
(Knee Injury)
Ruberto A.
(Knee Injury)
Subiabre I.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R.
(Ankle Injury)
Tovo E.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in River Plate: Driussi S.
(Injury)
Portillo J.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
River Plate - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.01%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.