The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flamengo 50.3%
Draw 26.8%
River Plate 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
27.8%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
27.7%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.
River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Flamengo - River Plate Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 61. Joao Souza 44. Vitao 6. Ayrton Lucas 21. Jorginho 5. Pulgar E. 7. Luiz Araujo 16. Samuel Lino 27. Bruno Henrique (C) 9. Pedro
41. Beltran S. (G) 20. Gonzalez G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. (C) 13. Rivero L. 21. Acuna M. 15. Fausto Vera 8. Arambarri M. 24. Meza J. 26. Galvan T. 9. Driussi S. 11. Colidio F.
Substitutes
59. Alan 51. Daniel Sales 87. Daniel Thuram 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 77. Goes J. 47. Guilherme Gomes 79. Joshua 99. Lorran 8. Niguez S. 35. Rayan Lucas 64. Wallace Yan
1. Armani F. (G) 52. Asuzu J. 33. Centurion E. (G) 35. Freitas J. 36. Gimenez U. 31. Gonzalez F. 47. Goytia T. 43. Lucero V. 25. Pereyra L. 44. Silva L. 48. Susano A.
Coaches
Jardim L.
Coudet E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Driussi S. ⚽,
29', Fausto Vera 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Samuel Lino ⚽, Jorginho (A),
32', Pulgar E. 🟨,
33', 2 - 1, Bruno Henrique ⚽, Samuel Lino (A),
38', 2 - 2, Driussi S. ⚽, Gonzalez G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Meza J. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
58', Arambarri M. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
58', Driussi S. ↓, Goytia T. ↑,
58', Acuna M. ↓, Pereyra L. ↑,
58', Colidio F. ↓, Freitas J. ↑,
60', Pedro ↓, Goes J. ↑,
60', Bruno Henrique ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
60', Jorginho ↓, Everton ↑,
68', Emerson Royal ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
68', Rossi A. ↓, da Silva Ventura A. ↑,
68', Luiz Araujo ↓, Daniel Sales ↑,
77', Samuel Lino ↓, Joshua ↑,
77', Pulgar E. ↓, Lorran ↑,
79', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
85', Gonzalez G. ↓, Gimenez U. ↑,
85', Martinez Quarta L. ↓, Lucero V. ↑,
90+5', Rivero L. 🟨,
Preview
Now, both teams are in good form.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
Flamengo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.
Last Results with these Odds
Flamengo - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.46%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.