Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 9 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Disney+


	River Plate Montevideo		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5
	1.53	4.3	5.07
	1.56	4.39	5.08	Watch
	1.44	4.33	5.5
	1.55	4.5	5.45	Watch
	1.46	4.2	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	4.37 ↑ (3.6)	5.45 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
61.6%

Draw
21.3%

Millonarios
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

24.8%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

23.1%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

River Plate Montevideo - Millonarios Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate Montevideo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ledesma C. (G) 27. Sant'Anna A. 2. Boselli S. 33. Gattoni F. 13. Diaz E. 31. Simon S. 5. Kranevitter M. 4. Fonseca N. 10. Lanzini M. 36. Solari P. 11. Colidio F.	38. Arboleda I. (G) 22. Alfonzo D. 26. Llinas A. 17. Arias J. 20. Banguero D. 23. Castro L. 7. Charrupi F. 14. Silva D. 8. Giraldo D. 15. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 9. Falcao R.
Substitutes
29. Aliendro R. 41. Beltran S. (G) 16. Carboni F. 20. Casco M. 26. Fernandez N. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 30. Mastantuono F. 28. Pena Biafore L. 32. Ruberto A. 38. Subiabre I. 23. Villagra R. 22. Zabala D.	5. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 41. Campaz Sandoval B. S. 32. Giordana S. 42. Largacha J. 11. Mantilla D. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 21. Pereira J. 13. Ramirez J. 1. Romero Jimenez C. A. (G) 30. Rosales R. 18. Ruiz D. 24. Sarabia C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Sant'Anna A. ↓, Casco M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kranevitter M. ↓, Pena Biafore L. ↑,
46', Fonseca N. ↓, Villagra R. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Colidio F. ⚽, Solari P. (A),
58', Boselli S. ↓, Gonzalez Pirez L. ↑,
58', Solari P. ↓, Ruberto A. ↑,
58', Simon S. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
59', Diaz E. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
59', Lanzini M. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
59', Ledesma C. ↓, Beltran S. ↑,
59', Colidio F. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
59', Gattoni F. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
64', Falcao R. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
65', Giraldo D. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
65', Silva D. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
65', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
65', Castro L. ↓, Mantilla D. ↑,
68', Carboni F. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Giordana S. ⚽,
83', Casco M. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.07.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	1:3 ✺
15.06.24	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Progreso - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTLT
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
02.06.24	Millonarios - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.24	Flamengo - Millonarios	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.05.24	Deportivo Pereira - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
22.05.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.01.23	River Plate Montevideo - Millonarios	2:0
15.01.17	River Plate Montevideo - Millonarios	1:0

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