Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Torneo Intermedio - Round 2

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Parque Federico Omar Saroldi (Montevideo)

Referee: Lasso L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uruguay	VTV+
Venezuela	GolTV


	River Plate Montevideo		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.95
	2.3	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.12	3.31
	2.4	3.12	3.31
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.31	3.14	3.14	Watch
	2.28	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.68)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)	3.16 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
40.4%

Draw
30.2%

Deportivo Maldonado
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

30.1%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maldonado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maldonado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 33. Corbo S. 4. Salaberry H. (C) 13. Almeida C. 26. Olivera G. 5. Galletto T. 27. Baez J. 11. De Los Santos J. 10. Vera A. 17. Amoroso V. 16. Campos N.	22. Reyes G. (G) 34. Trasante G. 4. Fuica N. 19. Tealde F. 74. Romero D. 5. Nunez L. 28. Cartagena S. 26. Larrazabal G. 8. Gonzalez P. 37. Noble Sequeira A. M. 29. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
22. Alfonso M. 19. Barone F. 18. Barrios G. 24. Castrillo D. 1. Irrazabal Y. (G) 7. Lavega J. 32. Moreno Robles K. E. 2. Perez F. 3. Rodriguez N. 15. Scarone A.	20. Alfaro A. 1. Bermudez E. (G) 10. Cantera M. 17. Centeno B. 23. Diana S. 15. Fernandez A. 7. Nichele M. 32. Petryk H. 47. Ramirez S. 27. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
Ithurralde I.	Diaz G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Romero D. 🟨,
33', Trasante G. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Noble Sequeira A. M. 🟨,
56', Nunez L. 🟨,
60', Reyes G. 🟨,
61', Amoroso V. ↓, Barone F. ↑,
61', Vera A. ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
63', Almeida C. 🟨,
66', Larrazabal G. ↓, Centeno B. ↑,
66', Gonzalez S. ↓, Cantera M. ↑,
70', Galletto T. ↓, Alfonso M. ↑,
70', Baez J. ↓, Moreno Robles K. E. ↑,
78', Noble Sequeira A. M. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
78', Tealde F. ↓, Diana S. ↑,
79', De Los Santos J. ↓, Scarone A. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Ramirez S. (Own goal),
89', Cartagena S. ↓, Alfaro A. ↑,
90+5', Centeno B. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches River Plate won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.06.24	Progreso - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	3:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.05.24	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.05.24	Cerro - River Plate Montevideo	3:2 ✺
18.05.24	River Plate Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTWLL
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.06.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting	0:2 ✺
03.06.24	Danubio - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
20.05.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	Racing Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
23.02.24	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	3:1
19.10.23	Deportivo Maldonado - River Plate Montevideo	0:0
13.03.23	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	3:1
02.10.22	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	0:0
07.05.22	Deportivo Maldonado - River Plate Montevideo	2:1
25.09.21	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2
30.05.21	Deportivo Maldonado - River Plate Montevideo	0:0

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