Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Fox Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 1
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPNPlay Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Peru	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
World	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app, Pluto TV, Twitch


	River Plate Montevideo		Talleres de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	7	Watch
	1.58	3.7	7
	1.55	3.7	6.4
	1.55	3.75	7.78
	1.56	3.75	7.11	Watch
	1.5	3.7	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.95	6.93	Watch
	1.55	3.7	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)	3.76 ↓ (3.8)	6.89 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
61.1%

Draw
25.2%

Talleres de Córdoba
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

24.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

23.2%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Talleres de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talleres de Córdoba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talleres de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

River Plate Montevideo - Talleres de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate Montevideo will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Armani F. (C) 16. Bustos F. 6. Pezzella G. 17. Diaz P. 13. Diaz E. 8. Meza M. 31. Simon S. 5. Kranevitter M. 29. Aliendro R. 30. Mastantuono F. 9. Miguel Borja	22. Herrera G. (C) 29. Benavidez G. 4. Catalan M. 28. Portillo J. 15. Riveros B. 8. Galarza M. 19. Moyano F. 27. Portilla J. 7. Palacios S. 25. Tarragona C. 32. Barticciotto B.
Substitutes
7. Bareiro A. 2. Boselli S. 20. Casco M. 11. Colidio F. 19. Echeverri C. 26. Fernandez N. 4. Fonseca N. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 10. Lanzini M. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 36. Solari P. 23. Villagra R.	38. Albarracin G. 20. Botta R. 11. Depietri V. 37. Esquivel M. 9. Girotti F. 5. Mantilla K. 17. Morales L. (G) 30. Ortegoza U. 26. Portillo M. 6. Rodriguez J. 18. Ruiz R. 2. Vigo A.
Coaches
Gallardo M.	Ribonetto W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Miguel Borja ⚽, Aliendro R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Aliendro R. ↓, Villagra R. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Simon S. ⚽, Meza M. (A),
52', Moyano F. ↓, Esquivel M. ↑,
53', Barticciotto B. ↓, Girotti F. ↑,
60', Miguel Borja 🟨,
64', Galarza M. 🟨,
64', Mastantuono F. ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
64', Simon S. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
68', Galarza M. ↓, Ortegoza U. ↑,
69', Palacios S. ↓, Botta R. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Girotti F. ⚽, Riveros B. (A),
72', Benavidez G. 🟨,
76', Kranevitter M. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
76', Portilla J. ↓, Portillo M. ↑,
90+2', Miguel Borja ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches River Plate won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.08.24	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	3:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.08.24	Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.07.24	River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
19.07.24	Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
14.07.24	River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TWTWL
- Talleres de Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.08.24	Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.08.24	Barracas Central - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Instituto Córdoba	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Banfield - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
14.08.24	Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate Montevideo	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.08.19	River Plate Montevideo - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1
30.03.19	Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate Montevideo	0:2
Club Friendly
09.09.18	Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate Montevideo	3:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.10.17	Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate Montevideo	4:0
11.09.16	Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate Montevideo	0:1

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