Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 39

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Roasso Kumamoto		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.25	1.95
	3.4	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.68	3.51	2.1
	3.68	3.51	2.1
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.52	3.54	2.02	Watch
	3.4	3.35	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.34)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	2.05 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
26.9%

Draw
27.4%

Machida Zelvia
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

27.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

27.4%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Roasso Kumamoto - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tashiro R. (G) 2. Kuroki K. 6. Okazaki M. 3. Onishi R. 14. Takemoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 7. Tanabe K. 17. Hirakawa R. 19. Shimamura T. 11. Aihara S. 10. Ito S.	42. Fukui K. (G) 43. Suzuki J. 14. Jang M. 34. Fujiwara Y. 39. Vasquez B. 18. Shimoda H. 6. Ota K. 16. Uno Z. 10. Takahashi D. 7. Araki S. 9. Numata T.
Substitutes
5. Abe K. 4. Fujita I. 30. Higashiyama T. 23. Sato Y. (G) 27. Taniyama Y. 28. Toshida Y. 21. Toyoda A.	15. Duke M. 27. Hirakawa Y. 19. Inaba S. 2. Okuyama M. 22. Onaga H. 23. Popp W. (G) 41. Yasui T.
Coaches
Oki T.	Kuroda G.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kumamoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Machida Zelvia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Kumamoto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan Emperors Cup
08.10.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Kashiwa Reysol	0:4 ✺
Japan J2 League
30.09.23	Vegalta Sendai - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
27.09.23	Tokushima Vortis - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWWW
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
14.10.23	Blaublitz Akita - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Machida Zelvia - Ventforet Kofu	3:3 ✺
01.10.23	Machida Zelvia - Iwaki	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	0:6 ✺
17.09.23	Fujieda MYFC - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.04.23	Machida Zelvia - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1
14.09.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Machida Zelvia	0:0
12.06.22	Machida Zelvia - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
16.07.18	Roasso Kumamoto - Machida Zelvia	2:3
08.04.18	Machida Zelvia - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2
02.09.17	Roasso Kumamoto - Machida Zelvia	0:1
03.05.17	Machida Zelvia - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1

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