Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Egao Kenko Stadium (Kumamoto)


	Roasso Kumamoto		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.15	3.35	2.15
	3.26	3.44	2.29
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	3.28	3.4	2.18	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3.09)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
29.6%

Draw
28%

Tokyo Verdy
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27.1%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

28%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	23.5%	64.7%

Roasso Kumamoto - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kumamoto will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tashiro R. (G) 2. Kuroki K. 24. Ezaki T. 3. Onishi R. 9. Omoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 14. Takemoto Y. 17. Hirakawa R. 19. Shimamura T. 11. Aihara S. 16. Matsuoka R.	1. Vidotto M. (G) 6. Miyahara K. 16. Yamakoshi K. 3. Taniguchi H. 2. Fukazawa D. 7. Morita K. 8. Saito K. 25. Inami T. 18. Vasquez B. 27. Yamada G. 20. Kitajima Y.
Substitutes
5. Abe K. 4. Fujita I. 30. Higashiyama T. 10. Ito S. 20. Osaki S. 23. Sato Y. (G) 7. Tanabe K.	15. Chida K. 41. Iida M. (G) 26. Kato R. 29. Kawamura K. 22. Koda H. 30. Sagawa K. 23. Tsunashima Y.
Coaches
Oki T.	Jofuku H.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 2.

Recent matches Kumamoto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tokyo Verdy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kumamoto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Kumamoto won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
25.06.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Júbilo Iwata	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
21.06.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Ryūkyū	3:2 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
17.06.23	Fujieda MYFC - Roasso Kumamoto	0:4 ✺
11.06.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
03.06.23	Iwaki - Roasso Kumamoto	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
24.06.23	Montedio Yamagata - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:2 ✺
11.06.23	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
04.06.23	Tokyo Verdy - Vegalta Sendai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.03.23	Tokyo Verdy - Roasso Kumamoto	3:0
28.08.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokyo Verdy	1:0
09.04.22	Tokyo Verdy - Roasso Kumamoto	2:3
16.09.18	Tokyo Verdy - Roasso Kumamoto	2:2
15.04.18	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokyo Verdy	0:0
11.08.17	Tokyo Verdy - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0
01.07.17	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokyo Verdy	4:0

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