Match Info

J2/J3 League - Placement matches - Round 1

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)


	Ehime		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.08	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.29	3.1	3.21
	2.1	3.28	3.46	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.16	3.2	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.15)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	3.26 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
42.9%

Draw
29%

Roasso Kumamoto
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.1%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Ehime - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ehime will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kumamoto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Tsuji S. (G) 5. Kuroishi T. 50. Sugiyama K. 16. Hosoya K. 49. Abe R. 70. Maeda R. 24. Miyamoto K. 14. Saito R. 22. Takemoto Y. 38. Hino S. 17. Taguchi Y.	23. Sato Y. (G) 4. Yakushida R. 24. Ri T. 26. Toda S. 41. Omoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 25. Nasu K. 39. Aoki S. 10. Katori Y. 7. Fujii K. 11. Bae Jeong-Min
Substitutes
27. Funahashi K. 99. Kabayama R. 26. Kanazawa K. 39. Muto H. 31. Shirasaka F. (G) 88. Yamaguchi T. 3. Yamahara K. 13. Yamashita Y. 48. Yukutomo T.	18. Handai M. 14. Ishihara O. 6. Iwashita W. 5. Kobayashi K. 22. Matsuda E. 17. Nagai S. 27. Negishi K. 1. Sato S. (G) 19. Watanabe R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hosoya K. ↓, Yamahara K. ↑,
48', Ri T. 🟨,
57', Saito R. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Handai M. ↑,
60', Omoto Y. ↓, Matsuda E. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Katori Y. ⚽, Aoki S. (A),
66', Takemoto Y. ↓, Yukutomo T. ↑,
66', Taguchi Y. ↓, Kabayama R. ↑,
69', Fujii K. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
82', Nasu K. ↓, Negishi K. ↑,
82', Katori Y. ↓, Iwashita W. ↑,
84', Saito R. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
84', Abe R. ↓, Muto H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ehime won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Ehime has had a series of away games.

Ehime is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ehime won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ehime won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J2 J3 League
23.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Ehime	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Kochi United - Ehime	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Ehime - Kataller Toyama	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Ehime	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Ehime	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWLWW
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 J3 League
23.05.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 penalties ✺
17.05.26	Kagoshima United - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Ryūkyū	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Reilac Shiga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
23.11.25	Ehime - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
11.05.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Ehime	2:2
29.06.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Ehime	4:0
10.03.24	Ehime - Roasso Kumamoto	2:3
17.11.18	Roasso Kumamoto - Ehime	3:0
17.03.18	Ehime - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2
01.10.17	Roasso Kumamoto - Ehime	2:1

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