The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnet 45.7%
Draw 25%
York City 29.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.3%
26%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
24.6%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Barnet - York City Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 64.6% โ 100%.
13. Cox M. (G) 5. Senior A. 4. Collinge D. (C) 25. Tavares N. 3. Crichlow R. 11. Kanu I. 22. Gallagher O. 14. Comley B. 8. Lakin C. 9. Maskell J. 20. Tshimanga K.
1. McNally A. (G) 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 5. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 23. Felix J. 21. Boateng H. 8. Hunt A. 12. Boyes H. 28. Banks O. 7. Grey J. 10. Pearce O.
Substitutes
17. Ajayi D. 36. Haralambous A. (G) 7. Knowles T. 10. Ofoborh N. 23. Reeves J. 18. Smith K. 6. Williams Z.
15. King J. 11. Maguire F. 30. Newby A. 16. Read A. 9. Stones J. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G) 24. Williams M.
Coaches
Brennan D.
Lindsey S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Brennan D. 🟨,
14', Banks O. ↓, Read A. ↑,
29', Hunt A. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Read A. ⚽, Felix J. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. ⚽,
45+4', Boateng H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Maskell J. 🟨,
49', Kanu I. 🟨,
52', Boateng H. 🟨,
56', Kanu I. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
56', Maskell J. ↓, Knowles T. ↑,
57', Grey J. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
57', Fallowfield R. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
62', Pearce O. 🟨,
63', Comley B. ↓, Reeves J. ↑,
64', Senior A. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
68', Lindsey S. 🟨,
71', Pearce O. ↓, Maguire F. ↑,
71', Felix J. ↓, King J. ↑,
77', King J. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Reeves J. ⚽,
83', Reeves J. 🟨,
83', Tshimanga K. ↓, Ajayi D. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, McNally A. (Own goal),
87', Ajayi D. 🟨,
90+2', Kitching M. 🟨,
90+2', Williams M. 🟨,
90+6', Lindsey S. 🟥,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - League One and 5th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3.
Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.
Recently, York has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Barnet holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Barnet: Noel-Williams I.
(Red Card).
Confirmed absences for York: Hewitt C.
(Inactive)
Medley Z.
(Inactive).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Barnet has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:18 (averaging 1.7:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barnet against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 1.8:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Barnet
12
7
4
1
27:17
10
25
5
York City
13
5
5
3
22:16
6
20
Outrights of English League Two for now
York City: 10.95% Barnet: 9.94%
Last Results with these Odds
York City - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.66%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.