Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 33

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Barnet		York City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.1	3.1	3.2
				Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.94)	3.25 ↓ (3.43)	3.33 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
44.7%

Draw
28%

York City
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

25.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Barnet - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). York will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Savin T. (G) 15. Glover R. 23. Grimwood J. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 11. Kanu I. 26. Kenlock M. 9. Ndlovu L. 22. Oluwo A. 19. Shelton M. 10. Stead C. 25. Tavares N.	1. Male H. (G) 15. Armstrong M. 18. Batty D. 28. Fagan-Walcott M. 23. Felix J. 5. Howe C. (C) 8. Hunt A. 21. John C. 11. Nathaniel-George A. 10. Pearce O. 7. Sinclair T.
Substitutes
40. Bellagambi G. (G) 8. Browne R. 17. Brunt Z. 21. Clifford B. 3. Coker B. 32. Cropper J. 14. Telford D.	20. Aguiar R. 2. Fallowfield R. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 29. Luamba J. 17. Richardson L. 24. Stones J. 16. Watson R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Oluwo A. ⚽, Ndlovu L. (A),
33', Nathaniel-George A. 🟨,
33', Kanu I. 🟨,
34', Batty D. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
45', Nathaniel-George A. ↓, John-Lewis L. N. ↑,
45+2', Felix J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, Ndlovu L. ⚽,
58', 3 - 0, Hartigan A. ⚽,
66', Sinclair T. ↓, Luamba J. ↑,
66', Grimwood J. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,
79', Glover R. 🟨,
81', Ndlovu L. ↓, Clifford B. ↑,
84', Glover R. ↓, Brunt Z. ↑,
85', Tavares N. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Fagan-Walcott M. ⚽,
90+2', Kenlock M. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 2.

Swansea is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Blackburn is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Swansea won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:18 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
15.02.25	Barnet - Solihull Moors	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Boston United - Barnet	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Tamworth - Barnet	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	Barnet - Hartlepool United	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Barnet - Maidenhead United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWWW
- York City
English National League
15.02.25	Ebbsfleet United - York City	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	York City - Woking	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	York City - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Boston United - York City	3:1 ✺
21.01.25	Oldham Athletic - York City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
22.10.24	York City - Barnet	3:1
24.02.24	Barnet - York City	2:0
26.09.23	York City - Barnet	2:4
03.04.23	York City - Barnet	1:0
01.10.22	Barnet - York City	0:5
English League Two
12.03.16	York City - Barnet	1:1
17.10.15	Barnet - York City	3:1

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