Match Info

National League - Round 30

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	16:45	DAZN
Australia	06:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belarus	22:45	DAZN
Bolivia	15:45	DAZN
Brazil	16:45	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada
Colombia	14:45	DAZN
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	14:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hong Kong	03:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
India	01:15	DAZN
Indonesia	02:45	DAZN
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	DAZN
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
Malaysia	03:45	DAZN
Mexico	13:45	DAZN
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:45	DAZN
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Norway	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	16:45	DAZN
Philippines	03:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Russia	22:45	DAZN
Serbia	20:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
South Africa	21:45	DAZN
South Korea	04:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	DAZN
Thailand	02:45	DAZN
Ukraine	21:45	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	23:45	DAZN
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	DAZN
Usa	15:45	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	00:45	DAZN
Venezuela	15:45	DAZN
Vietnam	02:45	DAZN


	Southend United		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.6
	2.6	3.1	2.37
	2.62	3.15	2.58	Watch
	2.71	3.16	2.75
	2.6	3.33	2.6	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.7
	2.57	2.98	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.84)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	2.6 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
35.1%

Draw
29.6%

Rochdale
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Southend United - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 2. Scott-Morriss G. (C) 16. Taylor H. 26. Golding J. 15. Gubbins J. 33. Boyes H. 22. Appiah-Forson K. 23. Morton 10. Austin S. 9. Dallas A. 14. Hopper T.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 7. Allarakhia T. 4. East R. 16. Pettit C. 18. Barlow A. 22. Moss D. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 10. Rodney D.
Substitutes
7. Bridge J. 28. Coker O. 6. Goodliffe B. 24. Kendall C. 25. Mawene N. 18. Spasov S. 11. Walker J.	19. Burger J. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 23. Hosannah B. J. 21. McBride C. 38. Smith T. 3. Tutonda D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Dallas A. ⚽, Boyes H. (A),
17', Gordon K. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Golding J. ⚽,
19', Dallas A. 🟨,
20', 2 - 1, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, Moss D. (A),
27', 3 - 1, Hopper T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barlow A. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
55', 3 - 2, Pettit C. ⚽,
66', Dallas A. ↓, Kendall C. ↑,
66', Scott-Morriss G. ↓, Coker O. ↑,
67', Hopper T. ↓, Spasov S. ↑,
76', Pettit C. 🟨,
83', Pettit C. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
83', Rodney D. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
88', Appiah-Forson K. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
88', Austin S. ↓, Goodliffe B. ↑,
88', Allarakhia T. ↓, McBride C. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southend won 2.

Southend is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rochdale is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Southend may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Southend won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Southend won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Southend	15	8	5	2	36:24	12	29

Outrights of English National League for now

Southend: 8.88%

Last Results with these Odds

Southend United - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.69%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
14.03.26	Southend United - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Southend United - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Carlisle United - Southend United	2:2 ✺
03.03.26	Southend United - Truro City	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.02.26	Horsham - Southend United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTTW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
14.03.26	Eastleigh - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Rochdale - Boston United	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Rochdale - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Halifax Town - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
27.01.26	Rochdale - Southend United	2:1
15.05.25	Rochdale - Southend United	3:4 ET
15.02.25	Southend United - Rochdale	1:1
19.10.24	Rochdale - Southend United	0:1
20.04.24	Southend United - Rochdale	1:2
30.09.23	Rochdale - Southend United	2:2
English League One
31.08.19	Southend United - Rochdale	0:3

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