Match Info

National League - Round 30

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Southend United		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.6
	2.6	3.1	2.37
	2.62	3.15	2.58	Watch
	2.71	3.16	2.75
	2.6	3.33	2.6	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.7
	2.57	2.98	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.84)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	2.6 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
35.1%

Draw
29.6%

Rochdale
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Southend United - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 2. Scott-Morriss G. (C) 16. Taylor H. 26. Golding J. 15. Gubbins J. 33. Boyes H. 22. Appiah-Forson K. 23. Morton 10. Austin S. 9. Dallas A. 14. Hopper T.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 7. Allarakhia T. 4. East R. 16. Pettit C. 18. Barlow A. 22. Moss D. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 10. Rodney D.
Substitutes
7. Bridge J. 28. Coker O. 6. Goodliffe B. 24. Kendall C. 25. Mawene N. 18. Spasov S. 11. Walker J.	19. Burger J. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 23. Hosannah B. J. 21. McBride C. 38. Smith T. 3. Tutonda D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Dallas A. ⚽, Boyes H. (A),
17', Gordon K. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Golding J. ⚽,
19', Dallas A. 🟨,
20', 2 - 1, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, Moss D. (A),
27', 3 - 1, Hopper T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barlow A. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
55', 3 - 2, Pettit C. ⚽,
66', Dallas A. ↓, Kendall C. ↑,
66', Scott-Morriss G. ↓, Coker O. ↑,
67', Hopper T. ↓, Spasov S. ↑,
76', Pettit C. 🟨,
83', Pettit C. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
83', Rodney D. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
88', Appiah-Forson K. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
88', Austin S. ↓, Goodliffe B. ↑,
88', Allarakhia T. ↓, McBride C. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southend won 2.

Southend is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rochdale is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Southend may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Southend won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Southend won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31:19	12	27

Last Results with these Odds

Southend United - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.69%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
14.03.26	Southend United - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Southend United - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Carlisle United - Southend United	2:2 ✺
03.03.26	Southend United - Truro City	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.02.26	Horsham - Southend United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTTW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
14.03.26	Eastleigh - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Rochdale - Boston United	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Rochdale - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Halifax Town - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
27.01.26	Rochdale - Southend United	2:1
15.05.25	Rochdale - Southend United	3:4 ET
15.02.25	Southend United - Rochdale	1:1
19.10.24	Rochdale - Southend United	0:1
20.04.24	Southend United - Rochdale	1:2
30.09.23	Rochdale - Southend United	2:2
English League One
31.08.19	Southend United - Rochdale	0:3

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