The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rochdale 35.9%
Draw 30.3%
Barrow 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
30.1%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
31.1%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rochdale's performance.
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barrow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rochdale that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.1%
36.8%
21.1%
Rochdale - Barrow Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Barrow will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 19.9% – 64.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 10).
Rochdale has the most likely position - 22 (10.08%), has project points - 49, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Barrow has the most likely position - 12 (6.97%), has project points - 65, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality8, small importance24, small match rating16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Rochdale is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Barrow is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Rochdale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
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