Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Coy M. (Eng)


	Barrow		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.1	2.8
	2.6	3	2.8
	2.65	3	2.75
	2.6	3	2.75
	2.74	2.98	3.01
	2.55	3.1	2.8
	2.64	3.24	2.88	Watch
	2.6	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.71)	3.06 ↓ (3.19)	2.82 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
35.9%

Draw
30.8%

Leyton Orient
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.6%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	50%	18.7%

Barrow - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Barrow has the most likely position - 6 (7.04%), has project points - 71, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (25.3%), has project points - 86, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a good chance of promoted (60%), has a chance of win league (25%).

This event has small quality 13, importance 50, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Leyton Orient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Barrow have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Barrow won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
17.09.22	Newport County - Barrow	0:2 ✺
13.09.22	Barrow - Doncaster Rovers	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Northampton Town - Barrow	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Fleetwood Town - Barrow	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
27.08.22	AFC Wimbledon - Barrow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWLWW
- Leyton Orient
English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Leyton Orient - Sutton United	3:1 ✺
English League Two
17.09.22	Leyton Orient - Walsall	1:0 ✺
13.09.22	Rochdale - Leyton Orient	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Leyton Orient - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Oxford United - Leyton Orient	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.03.22	Leyton Orient - Barrow	2:0
09.10.21	Barrow - Leyton Orient	1:1
17.04.21	Leyton Orient - Barrow	2:0
10.10.20	Barrow - Leyton Orient	1:1
English National League
05.03.19	Barrow - Leyton Orient	2:3
11.08.18	Leyton Orient - Barrow	2:2
07.04.18	Leyton Orient - Barrow	4:1

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