Match Info

FA Trophy - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)


	Rochdale		Spennymoor Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	4.5
	1.63	4.1	4.5
	1.64	4.05	4.8
	1.68	4.05	4.66
	1.63	4.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	4.04 ↑ (3.69)	4.59 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
56.9%

Draw
22.9%

Spennymoor Town
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

26.6%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Rochdale - Spennymoor Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, Rodney D. ⚽,
51', 1 - 1, Shrimpton F. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Barlow A. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Rutledge A. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Taylor G. (Pen),
1, Beckwith S. (Pen),
2, Dolan M. (Pen),
2, Barlow A. (Pen),
3, Harris W. (Pen),
3, Mitchell K. (Pen),
4, Rutledge A. (Pen),
4, Buyabu J. (Pen),
5, Staunton R. (Pen),
5, Allarakhia T. (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Rochdale is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Spennymoor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rochdale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rochdale is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
01.04.25	Woking - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	4:0 ✺
25.03.25	Rochdale - York City	0:4 ✺
22.03.25	Maidenhead United - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
18.03.25	Rochdale - Boston United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLTL
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
01.04.25	Spennymoor Town - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Chorley - Spennymoor Town	4:0 ✺
25.03.25	Spennymoor Town - Radcliffe	3:2 ✺
18.03.25	Spennymoor Town - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	King`s Lynn Town - Spennymoor Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW

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