Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade)

Referee: Perez M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	Roda		FC Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.7	3.9	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.7
	1.88	3.7	3.7
	1.89	3.78	4.01
	2.14	3.37	3.26	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.85	3.75	3.85	Watch
	2	4.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2)	3.69 ↓ (4.1)	3.63 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
49%

Draw
25.3%

FC Eindhoven
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

22.6%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

21.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Roda - FC Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 9 - 75%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Roda (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 18. Kother T. 8. Muller J. P. 4. Nisbet J. 14. Breij M. 10. Schwirten J. 7. Seedorf C. 9. van den Hurk A.	26. Brondeel J. (G) 22. Essers C. 3. Limouri F. 33. Neeskens J. 25. Douglas T. 5. Huisman D. 10. van Schuppen B. 8. Simons S. 7. Blummel S. 32. Janga R. 14. Deenen H.
Substitutes
15. Beerten L. 16. Cooper-Love J. 26. El Meliani R. 28. Foss J. 11. Griffith I. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 34. Maiorano L. 6. Paulissen M. 25. Splinter I. 23. Steins J. (G) 2. Timmermans J. 21. Zich B. (G)	1. Borgmans J. (G) 28. Haddaoui Z. 23. Lukoki Mateso E. 21. Muller T. 18. Munsters N. 55. Netten L. 24. Renfrum O. 2. Simons T. 27. van de Wetering M. 31. van Zutphen R. (G)
Coaches
van Dessel K.	Verberne M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Essers C. ↓, Simons T. ↑,
57', Deenen H. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
72', Schwirten J. 🟨,
72', Schwirten J. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
73', Breij M. ↓, Griffith I. ↑,
79', van den Hurk A. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
83', Blummel S. ↓, Munsters N. ↑,
84', Seedorf C. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
90+6', Neeskens J. ↓, Netten L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Roda could have a small edge in this match.

There are questionable in Roda: Lajud Martinez D. (Injury)

There are questionable in FC Eindhoven: Bryson A. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Roda won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.08.25	VVV-Venlo - Roda	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	Roda - De Graafschap	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Helmond Sport - Roda	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Roda - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:3 ✺
18.07.25	Jong PSV - Roda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWTT
- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.08.25	FC Eindhoven - Waalwijk	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Willem II - FC Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	FC Eindhoven - Jong Utrecht	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Lommel - FC Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
30.07.25	PSV Eindhoven - FC Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.05.25	Roda - FC Eindhoven	0:1
27.09.24	FC Eindhoven - Roda	0:0
22.01.24	Roda - FC Eindhoven	3:0
06.11.23	FC Eindhoven - Roda	1:1
05.05.23	Roda - FC Eindhoven	1:2
16.09.22	FC Eindhoven - Roda	3:3
18.12.21	FC Eindhoven - Roda	1:1

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