The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roda 50%
Draw 23.4%
Den Bosch 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
22.2%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
21.7%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Roda - Den Bosch Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Den Bosch (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Roda will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 18. Kother T. 8. Muller J. P. 10. Schwirten J. 4. Nisbet J. 14. Breij M. 9. van den Hurk A. (C) 7. Seedorf C.
36. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. 4. van Grunsven T. (C) 27. Akmum R. 5. de Groot N. 16. Wang B. 10. van Leeuwen T. 33. Laros M. 17. Semedo E. 8. Monzialo K. 51. El Allachi C.
Substitutes
15. Beerten L. 16. Cooper-Love J. 26. El Meliani R. 28. Foss J. 11. Griffith I. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 20. Leijten R. 34. Maiorano L. 23. Steins J. (G) 29. Takidine I. 2. Timmermans J. 21. Zich B. (G)
46. Boushaba A. 48. Elum S. (G) 6. Felida K. 19. Kuijpers D. 3. Maas S. 7. Sille G. 1. van Balsfoort R. (G) 42. Van Koeverden L. 39. Wolters R.
Coaches
van Dessel K.
Landvreugd U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
3', El Allachi C. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Breij M. ⚽, Nisbet J. (A),
21', 2 - 0, van den Hurk A. ⚽, Schwirten J. (A),
32', 3 - 0, Schwirten J. ⚽,
42', 4 - 0, Breij M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', El Allachi C. ↓, Sille G. ↑,
46', Wang B. ↓, Felida K. ↑,
62', van den Hurk A. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
62', Kother T. ↓, Beerten L. ↑,
63', 5 - 0, Breij M. ⚽, Schwirten J. (A),
68', Semedo E. ↓, Kuijpers D. ↑,
68', Akmum R. ↓, Maas S. ↑,
69', 6 - 0, Breij M. (Pen),
71', Schwirten J. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
71', Griffith I. ↓, Takidine I. ↑,
87', Breij M. ↓, Leijten R. ↑,
88', van Leeuwen T. ↓, Wolters R. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 1.
Roda is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Den Bosch has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Den Bosch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Roda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roda won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Den Bosch - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 23.61%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.