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Current Win Probability
Jong Utrecht 31%
Draw 24%
Jong AZ Alkmaar 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
23%
52.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.4%
22.7%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong Utrecht's performance.
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong Utrecht that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
Jong Utrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Utrecht (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Eppink M. (G) 3. Kooy W. (C) 14. Mukeh J. 5. Plantinga V. 2. van der Wegen S. 10. Dundas N. 8. Agougil O. 6. Jenner I. 7. Menzo B. 9. Ohio N. 11. Edhart L.
1. Verhulst H. (G) 2. Inge K. 5. Esajas J. 6. Twisk N. (C) 3. Menu M. 7. Hartog J. 4. van Duijl B. 8. Boogaard K. 10. Robbemond R. 9. van Duijn S. 11. Toppenberg K.
Substitutes
17. Arcos G. 20. den Boggende T. 19. Ebite S. 31. Eversen J. (G) 21. Jensen M. 15. Kloosterboer P. 32. Tsankov M. (G) 22. van den Boogaard B. 12. van der Mast H. 18. van Riel J.
18. Hamdi Y. 14. Mastoras E. 23. Schilder K. (G) 16. Schipper J. (G) 21. Smits A. 19. van den Ban Y. 17. van der Klaauw D. 12. Zwart J.
Coaches
Otten M.
Echteld L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Robbemond R. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Mukeh J. 🟨,
57', Boogaard K. ↓, Mastoras E. ↑,
60', Edhart L. ↓, Arcos G. ↑,
60', Menzo B. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
66', Inge K. ↓, Zwart J. ↑,
66', Hartog J. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
66', Mastoras E. ↓, Hamdi Y. ↑,
72', Jenner I. ↓, van der Mast H. ↑,
72', Plantinga V. ↓, Kloosterboer P. ↑,
75', Agougil O. 🟨,
85', Ohio N. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 0.
Jong Utrecht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Jong AZ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Jong Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Jong AZ could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Jong Utrecht: Demircan E.
(Injury)
El Arguioui R.
(Knee Injury)
Jenner I.
(Injury)
There will not play in Jong AZ: Natali A.
(International duty)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).
Netherlands
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Eppink M. (G) 
Jenner I. 
Arcos G. 
Jensen M. 
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