FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 14
Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday
Location: Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina (Moscow)
Rodina Moscow 2
Avangard Kursk
1
X
2
1.43
4.1
6.43
1.48
3.75
5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.46 ↑ (1.43)
3.93 ↓ (4.1)
5.88 ↓ (6.43)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rodina Moscow 2 61.8%
Draw 22.9%
Avangard Kursk 15.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.6%
22.2%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.7%
20.9%
13.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodina Moscow 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Avangard Kursk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodina Moscow 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (-2%)
Rodina Moscow 2 - Avangard Kursk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
58. Ladokha D. (G) 44. Baranov P. 22. Beskibalniy A. 95. Chernyshev D. 30. Danilin M. 69. Khezhev A. 66. Larionov E. (C) 89. Maltsev R. 12. Markitesov D. 70. Samko V. 79. Svintsov D.
13. Skorobogatjko E. (G) 7. Balashov K. 26. Borisov S. 11. Ignatenko V. (C) 88. Khvat N. 78. Kumsarov D. 94. Nadolskiy A. 25. Nekrasov A. 71. Shchipachev V. 10. Slobodchikov M. 46. Sukharev A.
Substitutes
93. Antonov I. 25. Basyrov S. 24. Biryukov A. 11. Kozhedub S. 98. Pavlov N. (G) 31. Shakerov R. (G)
9. Beskorovaynyi D. 67. Kozyrev V. 45. Sedov D. 96. Senik D. 33. Tashaev R. (G) 36. Yunusov E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Maltsev R. 🟨,
39', Nadolskiy A. 🟨,
39', Markitesov D. 🟨,
45', Borisov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Maltsev R. ↓, Biryukov A. ↑,
60', Danilin M. ↓, Kozhedub S. ↑,
69', Shchipachev V. 🟨,
71', Nekrasov A. ↓, Yunusov E. ↑,
71', Shchipachev V. ↓, Beskorovaynyi D. ↑,
79', Baranov P. 🟨,
80', Beskorovaynyi D. 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Beskorovaynyi D. ⚽,
82', Slobodchikov M. 🟨,
83', Larionov E. ↓, Antonov I. ↑,
83', Svintsov D. ↓, Basyrov S. ↑,
83', Slobodchikov M. ↓, Sedov D. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Basyrov S. ⚽,
89', Nadolskiy A. ↓, Kozyrev V. ↑,
90+3', Skorobogatjko E. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 7 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Relegation)).
Rodina 2 is Qualified for FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season )
Rodina 2 is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Avangard Kursk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Rodina 2 is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Rodina 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Rodina 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).