Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 4

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday


	Rodina Moscow 2		Ufa

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.5	1.78
	3.8	3.38	1.86
	3.75	3.6	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (3.91)	3.49 ↓ (3.58)	1.8 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow 2
24.2%

Draw
25.8%

Ufa
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

25.5%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

25.1%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Shakerov R. (G) 47. Agaev A. 28. Burlakov M. 95. Chernyshev D. 30. Danilin M. 66. Larionov E. 20. Markitesov D. 52. Petukhov I. 48. Shilov D. 18. Tananeev D. 38. Zakharov G.	1. Baklov O. (G) 88. Ageyan M. 18. Gurenko A. 10. Gystarov R. 8. Isaev S. 62. Karpov V. 97. Pasevich R. 7. Perchenok A. 44. Samsonov A. 22. Shavaev A. 45. Tenyaev A.
Substitutes
35. Aisin M. (G) 71. Atamanskiy I. 12. Gapechkin A. 91. Gaziev A. 97. Goldobin N. 80. Khorin A. A. 49. Popov O. 13. Solomakha V. 87. Stefanishin A. 51. Trapitsyn N. 73. Truntaev E. Y. 74. Yagodkin A.	40. Chernov A. (G) 13. Grigorjev D. 37. Kapustyanskiy D. 69. Khalilov H. 9. Khleborodov I. 5. Kutin D. 48. Lukyanov A. 90. Lyakh A. 77. Minaev R. 11. Molteninov I. 17. Nasibov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Tananeev D. 🟨,
45+2', Perchenok A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Gystarov R. ↓, Grigorjev D. ↑,
66', Ageyan M. ↓, Nasibov M. ↑,
73', Larionov E. ↓, Solomakha V. ↑,
73', Shilov D. ↓, Trapitsyn N. ↑,
73', Isaev S. ↓, Molteninov I. ↑,
78', Baklov O. 🟨,
78', Shavaev A. 🟨,
82', Perchenok A. ↓, Lyakh A. ↑,
87', Danilin M. ↓, Goldobin N. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Ufa is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow 2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
26.05.24	Murom - Rodina Moscow 2	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Metallurg Lipetsk	5:1 ✺
24.04.24	Novosibirsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Murom	5:2 ✺
07.04.24	Rotor - Rodina Moscow 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTWL
- FC Ufa
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
26.05.24	Ufa - Metallurg Lipetsk	6:0 ✺
28.04.24	Ufa - Novosibirsk	2:1 ✺
24.04.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ufa	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Ufa - Krasnodar 2	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ufa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWL

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