Match Info

SLOVENIA: 2. SNL - ROUND 16

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Rogaška		Ilirija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.1	3.15
	2.01	3.2	3.1
	2.09	3.31	3.2
	2.05	3.44	3.13
	2.06	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.93)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	3.15 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rogaška
43.9%

Draw
27.5%

Ilirija Ljubljana
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

26%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rogaška has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ilirija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rogaška than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga and 3).

Rogaška in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ilirija is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ilirija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rogaška will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rogaška won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Rogaška won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Rogaška
Slovenian Cup
09.11.22	Rogaška - Odranci	7:0 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
05.11.22	Rogaška - Krško	2:1 ✺
28.10.22	Krka - Rogaška	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Rogaška - Primorje	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Bilje - Rogaška	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWTW
- Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
06.11.22	Ilirija Ljubljana - Rudar Velenje	3:1 ✺
31.10.22	Krško - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:4 ✺
23.10.22	Ilirija Ljubljana - Krka	2:0 ✺
Slovenian Cup
18.10.22	Domžale - Ilirija Ljubljana	3:1 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
15.10.22	Primorje - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
31.07.22	Ilirija Ljubljana - Rogaška	0:0
27.03.22	Rogaška - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:0
11.09.21	Ilirija Ljubljana - Rogaška	1:4
15.05.19	Rogaška - Ilirija Ljubljana	3:0
31.10.18	Ilirija Ljubljana - Rogaška	0:0

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