Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Petrescu R. M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	RTL+
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Roma		HJK

	1	X	2
	1.16	7.5	17
	1.17	7.5	18
	1.17	7.8	18
	1.16	7.6	17
	1.16	8.18	19.69
	1.14	7.5	19
	1.16	8.3	19.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.19)	7.77 ↑ (7.48)	18.28 ↑ (17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 1

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Current Win Probability

Roma
82.5%

Draw
12.3%

HJK
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.4%

12.9%

5.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.1%	13.2%	17.6%

Roma - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 47 - 69.1%). HJK will win (votes: 12 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 58.1% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Roma has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (30%), has a chance of 2nd (48%), has a chance of 3rd (20%), has a good chance of round of 16 (52%), has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

HJK has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (2%), has a small chance of 3rd (15%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 40, importance 59, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Roma is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

HJK is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Roma have a series of guest games.

In this match Roma is certain favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Darboe E. (Knee Injury) El Shaarawy S. (Muscle Injury) Kumbulla M. (Muscle Injury) Wijnaldum G. (Broken shinbone) Zalewski N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in HJK: Martic M. (Leg Injury) Moren V. (Knee Injury) Riski Ro. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Karsdorp R. (Injury)

There are questionable in HJK: Radulovic B. (Injury) Saksela J. (Injury) Serrarens F. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
12.09.22	Empoli - Roma	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Roma	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
04.09.22	Udinese - Roma	4:0 ✺
30.08.22	Roma - Monza	3:0 ✺
27.08.22	Juventus - Roma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWT
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
11.09.22	Honka - HJK	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	HJK - Betis	0:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.09.22	HJK - HIFK	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	HJK - SJK	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Silkeborg IF - HJK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWT

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