Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 26

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Angola	20:45	Z Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	16:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 2
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	03:45	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	20:45	Arena 4, Net4+
India	01:15	GXR World
Indonesia	02:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	21:45	Sport 4
Italy	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	00:45	ICE Sports
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	22:45	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
United Arab Emirates	23:45	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
International	19:45	Disney+, Onefootball


	Roma		Monza

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	11	Watch
	1.28	5.5	11
				Watch
	1.29	5	10
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.39)	5.42 ↑ (4.84)	10.67 ↑ (8.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
73.8%

Draw
17.4%

Monza
8.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.9%

19.8%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

18.9%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.5%	5.6%	2.8%

Roma - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (63 of 69 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.65% – 97.95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. (C) 15. Hummels M. 5. Ndicka E. 56. Saelemaekers A. 4. Cristante B. 61. Pisilli N. 3. Angelino 35. Baldanzi T. 18. Soule M. 14. Shomurodov E.	30. Turati S. (G) 2. Brorsson A. 3. Lekovic S. 44. Carboni A. 13. Pereira P. 42. Bianco A. 8. Urbanski K. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 84. Ciurria P. (C) 47. Mota D. 35. Ganvoula S.
Substitutes
12. Abdulhamid S. 19. Celik Z. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 21. Dybala P. 92. El Shaarawy S. 95. Gollini P. (G) 27. Gourna-Douath L. 17. Kone M. 25. Nelsson V. 16. Paredes L. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 2. Rensch D. 34. Salah-Eddine A.	17. Balde K. 57. Colombo L. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 22. Palacios T. 37. Petagna A. 21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 52. Postiglione N. 80. Vignato S. 18. Zeroli K.
Coaches
Ranieri C.	Nesta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Saelemaekers A. ⚽, Shomurodov E. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ganvoula S. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
56', Ciurria P. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
56', Urbanski K. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
58', Bianco A. 🟨,
62', Baldanzi T. ↓, Dybala P. ↑,
68', Mota D. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
70', Shomurodov E. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
70', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Angelino ⚽, Cristante B. (A),
76', Carboni A. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
80', Angelino ↓, Salah-Eddine A. ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Cristante B. ⚽, Dybala P. (A),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Roma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monza has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Roma have a series of guest games.

In this match Roma is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Thigh Injury) Marin R. (Injury)

There will not play in Monza: Izzo A. (Yellow Cards) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury) Sensi S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Akpa Akpro J. (Injury) Caldirola L. (Injury) Lekovic S. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	Roma - Porto	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
16.02.25	Parma - Roma	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Porto - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
09.02.25	Venezia - Roma	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
05.02.25	Milan - Roma	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTWL
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
16.02.25	Monza - Lecce	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Lazio - Monza	5:1 ✺
01.02.25	Monza - Verona	0:1 ✺
27.01.25	Genoa - Monza	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bologna - Monza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
06.10.24	Monza - Roma	1:1
02.03.24	Monza - Roma	1:4
22.10.23	Roma - Monza	1:0
03.05.23	Monza - Roma	1:1
30.08.22	Roma - Monza	3:0

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