Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Roma

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.5
	6.5	4.4	1.49
	6.75	4.6	1.48
	6.4	4.5	1.48
	6.9	4.57	1.48
	7	4.33	1.47
	6.8	4.6	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.62 ↑ (6.07)	4.5 ↑ (4.29)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 1

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
14.4%

Draw
21.2%

Roma
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

22.1%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

19.5%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.9%	7.7%	71.4%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 19 - 20.9%). Roma will win (votes: 65 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 62.1% – 80.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ludogorets has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (2%), has a small chance of 2nd (9%), has a good chance of 3rd (58%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (3%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Roma has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (49%), has a chance of 2nd (44%), has a small chance of 3rd (6%), has a good chance of round of 16 (69%), has a chance of qtrs (34%), has a chance of semis (16%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has quality 51, importance 50, match rating 51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ludogorets in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Roma is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Roma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Roma is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Darboe E. (Injury) El Shaarawy S. (Injury) Kumbulla M. (Muscle Injury) Wijnaldum G. (Broken shinbone) Zaniolo N. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Abraham T. (Shoulder Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
04.09.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	6:0 ✺
Bulgarian Super Cup
01.09.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia	3:2 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.08.22	Cherno More Varna - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Žalgiris - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:3 ET ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.08.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
04.09.22	Udinese - Roma	4:0 ✺
30.08.22	Roma - Monza	3:0 ✺
27.08.22	Juventus - Roma	1:1 ✺
22.08.22	Roma - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
14.08.22	Salernitana - Roma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTWW

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